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Doubravka vs Jiskra Domažlice II — 4. liga - Divizie A 2019

Doubravka
Doubravka
FT
8 – 0
HT: 2 – 0
Jiskra Domažlice II
Jiskra Domažlice II
5/17/20254. liga - Divizie A4. liga - Divizie A · Division A - 26Sportovni areal v Chrastecke ulice

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 60+ matches

Doubravka56%
×Draw19%
Jiskra Domažlice II24%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Doubravka
2.42
Jiskra Domažlice II
1.56

Doubravka creates 55% more chances

Season form · 83 home / 60 away

creates per match

Doubravka
2.28
Jiskra Domažlice II
1.58

allows per match

Doubravka
1.55
Jiskra Domažlice II
2.55

finishing

Doubravka+0.00on par
Jiskra Domažlice II+0.00on par

Total goals

76%Over
  • Over76
  • Under24

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

72%Yes
  • Yes72
  • No28

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Doubravka ↓

Jiskra Domažlice II →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–13%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–05%
1–17%
1–26%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–27%
2–34%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–17%
3–25%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–03%
4–14%
4–23%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (9%) · grid covers 89% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
91%9%2.5
76%24%3.5
56%44%4.5
36%64%

Double chance

Doubravka or draw
76%
Doubravka or Jiskra Domažlice II
81%
Draw or Jiskra Domažlice II
44%

Winning margin

Doubravka wins by 2+
35%
Jiskra Domažlice II wins by 2+
11%

Team goals

Doubravka 1+ goals
91%
Doubravka 2+ goals
69%
Doubravka 3+ goals
43%
Jiskra Domažlice II 1+ goals
79%
Jiskra Domažlice II 2+ goals
46%
Jiskra Domažlice II 3+ goals
21%

Draw no bet

Doubravka (draw refunded)
70%
Jiskra Domažlice II (draw refunded)
30%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
65%
Both score & under 3
7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Doubravka at home — creates 2.28, concedes 1.55 · 83 matches

Jiskra Domažlice II away — creates 1.58, concedes 2.55 · 60 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Doubravka attack 2.28 + Jiskra Domažlice II defence 2.55 → ÷2 → 2.42

Jiskra Domažlice II attack 1.58 + Doubravka defence 1.55 → ÷2 → 1.56

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 56%?"

Doubravka scores more
56%
level
19%
Jiskra Domažlice II scores more
24%

Doubravka at 56% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 56% does not mean "Doubravka will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Doubravka 8 – 0 Jiskra Domažlice II

Doubravka beat Jiskra Domažlice II 8-0 in 4. liga - Divizie A on May 17, 2025.

The match was played at Sportovni areal v Chrastecke ulice in Plzeň.