Dodoma Jiji 0–0 JKT Tanzania: Result & Stats

Dodoma Jiji

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

JKT Tanzania

6/24/2026

Ligi kuu Bara · Round 28Jamhuri Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 9+ matches

Dodoma Jiji40%

×Draw29%

JKT Tanzania31%

✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

48.6%

Always home

43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Dodoma JijiExpected goals in this matchJKT Tanzania

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.19

1.02

Dodoma Jiji

1.19

JKT Tanzania

1.02

Dodoma Jiji creates 17% more chances

Season form · 12 home / 9 away

1.17

creates per match

0.78

1.25

allows per match

1.22

creates per match

Dodoma Jiji

1.17

JKT Tanzania

0.78

allows per match

Dodoma Jiji

1.25

JKT Tanzania

1.22

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Dodoma Jiji+0.00on par

JKT Tanzania+0.00on par

Total goals

Under62
Over38

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No56
Yes44

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Dodoma Jiji ↓

JKT Tanzania →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–011%

0–111%

0–26%

0–32%

0–40%

1

1–013%

1–113%

1–27%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–08%

2–18%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–03%

3–13%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

89%11%1.5

65%35%2.5

38%62%3.5

18%82%4.5

7%93%

Double chance

Dodoma Jiji or draw

69%

Dodoma Jiji or JKT Tanzania

71%

Draw or JKT Tanzania

60%

Winning margin

Dodoma Jiji wins by 2+

17%

JKT Tanzania wins by 2+

12%

Team goals

Dodoma Jiji 1+ goals

70%

Dodoma Jiji 2+ goals

33%

Dodoma Jiji 3+ goals

12%

JKT Tanzania 1+ goals

64%

JKT Tanzania 2+ goals

27%

JKT Tanzania 3+ goals

8%

Draw no bet

Dodoma Jiji (draw refunded)

56%

JKT Tanzania (draw refunded)

44%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

31%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Dodoma Jiji at home — creates 1.17, concedes 1.25 · 12 matches

JKT Tanzania away — creates 0.78, concedes 1.22 · 9 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Dodoma Jiji attack 1.17 + JKT Tanzania defence 1.22 → ÷2 → 1.19

JKT Tanzania attack 0.78 + Dodoma Jiji defence 1.25 → ÷2 → 1.02

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 40%?"

Dodoma Jiji scores more

40%

level

29%

JKT Tanzania scores more

31%

Dodoma Jiji at 40% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 40% does not mean "Dodoma Jiji will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Dodoma

JKT

28

3

2

5

23

4

9

31

11

51

55

38

3

2

13

27

28

53

11

21

26

20

Dodoma Jiji substitutes

1Mhagama4Ngalema9Mgaza37Maguli16Ngassa

JKT Tanzania substitutes

17Bajana47Josiah8Ndemla

Ligi kuu Bara: Dodoma Jiji 0–0 JKT Tanzania

Dodoma Jiji and JKT Tanzania drew 0-0 in Ligi kuu Bara on June 24, 2026.

The match was played at Jamhuri Stadium.

Dodoma Jiji vs JKT Tanzania — Ligi kuu Bara 2025

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Head to Head

Ligi kuu Bara: Dodoma Jiji 0–0 JKT Tanzania