Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Dock Sud vs General Lamadrid — Primera C 2026

Dock Sud
Dock Sud
FT
0 – 1
General Lamadrid
General Lamadrid
9/18/2018Primera CPrimera C · Round 6Estadio de los Inmigrantes (Avellaneda, Provincia de Buenos Aires)

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 80+ matches

Dock Sud46%
×Draw29%
General Lamadrid25%
✓ Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.5%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.5% correct across 581,483 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Dock Sud
1.29
General Lamadrid
0.88

Dock Sud creates 47% more chances

Season form · 80 home / 138 away

creates per match

Dock Sud
1.21
General Lamadrid
1.00

allows per match

Dock Sud
0.76
General Lamadrid
1.38

finishing

Dock Sud+0.00on par
General Lamadrid+0.00on par

Total goals

63%Under
  • Under63
  • Over37

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

58%No
  • No58
  • Yes42

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Dock Sud ↓

General Lamadrid →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–011%
0–110%
0–24%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–015%
1–113%
1–26%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–010%
2–18%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–04%
3–14%
3–22%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (15%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
89%11%1.5
64%36%2.5
37%63%3.5
17%83%4.5
7%93%

Double chance

Dock Sud or draw
75%
Dock Sud or General Lamadrid
71%
Draw or General Lamadrid
54%

Winning margin

Dock Sud wins by 2+
21%
General Lamadrid wins by 2+
8%

Team goals

Dock Sud 1+ goals
72%
Dock Sud 2+ goals
37%
Dock Sud 3+ goals
14%
General Lamadrid 1+ goals
59%
General Lamadrid 2+ goals
22%
General Lamadrid 3+ goals
6%

Draw no bet

Dock Sud (draw refunded)
64%
General Lamadrid (draw refunded)
36%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
29%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Dock Sud at home — creates 1.21, concedes 0.76 · 80 matches

General Lamadrid away — creates 1.00, concedes 1.38 · 138 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Dock Sud attack 1.21 + General Lamadrid defence 1.38 → ÷2 → 1.29

General Lamadrid attack 1.00 + Dock Sud defence 0.76 → ÷2 → 0.88

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

Dock Sud scores more
46%
level
29%
General Lamadrid scores more
25%

Dock Sud at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "Dock Sud will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Dock Sud vs General Lamadrid

General Lamadrid beat Dock Sud 1-0 in Primera C on September 18, 2018.

The match was played at Estadio de los Inmigrantes (Avellaneda, Provincia de Buenos Aires).