Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Dock Sud vs Deportivo Laferrere — Primera B Metropolitana 2026

Dock Sud
Dock Sud
Preview
20:00
Deportivo Laferrere
Deportivo Laferrere
10/17/2026Primera B MetropolitanaPrimera B Metropolitana · Round 40Estadio de los Inmigrantes
Big match
42%
Dock Sud
model favours
42%29%29%

Deportivo Laferrere are unbeaten in 8 straight

brightest fact of this match

1–0
likely score
61%
under 2.5 goals
45%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 54+ matches

Dock Sud42%
×Draw29%
Deportivo Laferrere29%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 577,253 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.6% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Dock Sud
1.24
Deportivo Laferrere
0.99

Dock Sud creates 25% more chances

Season form · 87 home / 54 away

creates per match

Dock Sud
1.18
Deportivo Laferrere
0.91

allows per match

Dock Sud
1.06
Deportivo Laferrere
1.30

finishing

Dock Sud+0.00on par
Deportivo Laferrere+0.00on par

Total goals

61%Under
  • Under61
  • Over39

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

55%No
  • No55
  • Yes45

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Dock Sud ↓

Deportivo Laferrere →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–011%
0–111%
0–25%
0–32%
0–40%
1
1–013%
1–113%
1–27%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–18%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–03%
3–13%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
89%11%1.5
65%35%2.5
39%61%3.5
19%81%4.5
8%92%

Double chance

Dock Sud or draw
71%
Dock Sud or Deportivo Laferrere
71%
Draw or Deportivo Laferrere
58%

Winning margin

Dock Sud wins by 2+
19%
Deportivo Laferrere wins by 2+
11%

Team goals

Dock Sud 1+ goals
71%
Dock Sud 2+ goals
35%
Dock Sud 3+ goals
13%
Deportivo Laferrere 1+ goals
63%
Deportivo Laferrere 2+ goals
26%
Deportivo Laferrere 3+ goals
8%

Draw no bet

Dock Sud (draw refunded)
59%
Deportivo Laferrere (draw refunded)
41%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
31%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Dock Sud at home — creates 1.18, concedes 1.06 · 87 matches

Deportivo Laferrere away — creates 0.91, concedes 1.30 · 54 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Dock Sud attack 1.18 + Deportivo Laferrere defence 1.30 → ÷2 → 1.24

Deportivo Laferrere attack 0.91 + Dock Sud defence 1.06 → ÷2 → 0.99

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 42%?"

Dock Sud scores more
42%
level
29%
Deportivo Laferrere scores more
29%

Dock Sud at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 42% does not mean "Dock Sud will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Dock Sud score first in only 25% of matches
  • Deportivo Laferrere have scored in 10 games running
  • Deportivo Laferrere score first in only 29% of matches
  • 67% of Dock Sud’s matches stay under 2.5 goals

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
Sud
WDLWD
Laferrere
WWDWD

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Dock Sud vs Deportivo Laferrere — Match Preview

Dock Sud face Deportivo Laferrere on October 17, 2026 in this Primera B Metropolitana fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Dock Sud host Deportivo Laferrere at Estadio de los Inmigrantes.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.