Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Dobrudzha vs Kecskeméti TE — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Dobrudzha
Dobrudzha
CANC
13:00
Kecskeméti TE
Kecskeméti TE
1/25/2025Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 5

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 7+ matches

Dobrudzha48%
×Draw19%
Kecskeméti TE32%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Dobrudzha
2.50
Kecskeméti TE
2.04

Dobrudzha creates 23% more chances

Season form · 7 home / 8 away

creates per match

Dobrudzha
3.00
Kecskeméti TE
2.50

allows per match

Dobrudzha
1.57
Kecskeméti TE
2.00

finishing

Dobrudzha+0.00on par
Kecskeméti TE+0.00on par

Total goals

83%Over
  • Over83
  • Under17

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

80%Yes
  • Yes80
  • No20

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Dobrudzha ↓

Kecskeméti TE →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–01%
0–12%
0–22%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–03%
1–16%
1–26%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–03%
2–17%
2–27%
2–35%
2–42%
3
3–03%
3–16%
3–26%
3–34%
3–42%
4
4–02%
4–14%
4–24%
4–33%
4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (7%) · grid covers 86% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
94%6%2.5
83%17%3.5
66%34%4.5
47%53%

Double chance

Dobrudzha or draw
68%
Dobrudzha or Kecskeméti TE
81%
Draw or Kecskeméti TE
52%

Winning margin

Dobrudzha wins by 2+
30%
Kecskeméti TE wins by 2+
17%

Team goals

Dobrudzha 1+ goals
92%
Dobrudzha 2+ goals
71%
Dobrudzha 3+ goals
45%
Kecskeméti TE 1+ goals
87%
Kecskeméti TE 2+ goals
60%
Kecskeméti TE 3+ goals
33%

Draw no bet

Dobrudzha (draw refunded)
60%
Kecskeméti TE (draw refunded)
40%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
74%
Both score & under 3
6%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Dobrudzha at home — creates 3.00, concedes 1.57 · 7 matches

Kecskeméti TE away — creates 2.50, concedes 2.00 · 8 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Dobrudzha attack 3.00 + Kecskeméti TE defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 2.50

Kecskeméti TE attack 2.50 + Dobrudzha defence 1.57 → ÷2 → 2.04

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

Dobrudzha scores more
48%
level
19%
Kecskeméti TE scores more
32%

Dobrudzha at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "Dobrudzha will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Dobrudzha face Kecskeméti TE (Friendlies Clubs)

Friendlies Clubs returns with Dobrudzha hosting Kecskeméti TE. Match starts January 25, 2025. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.