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DLR Waves W vs Wexford Youths W — All-Island Cup - Women 2026

DLR Waves W
DLR Waves W
FT
0 – 2
Wexford Youths W
Wexford Youths W
6/7/2025All-Island Cup - WomenAll-Island Cup - Women · Group Stage - 3UCD Bowl

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

DLR Waves W20%
×Draw23%
Wexford Youths W57%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

DLR Waves W
1.00
Wexford Youths W
1.83

Wexford Youths W creates 83% more chances

Season form · 6 home / 8 away

creates per match

DLR Waves W
1.00
Wexford Youths W
2.50

allows per match

DLR Waves W
1.17
Wexford Youths W
1.00

finishing

DLR Waves W+0.00on par
Wexford Youths W+0.00on par

Total goals

54%Over
  • Over54
  • Under46

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

53%Yes
  • Yes53
  • No47

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

DLR Waves W ↓

Wexford Youths W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–111%
0–210%
0–36%
0–43%
1
1–06%
1–111%
1–210%
1–36%
1–43%
2
2–03%
2–15%
2–25%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–01%
3–12%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–00%
4–10%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
77%23%2.5
54%46%3.5
31%69%4.5
15%85%

Double chance

DLR Waves W or draw
43%
DLR Waves W or Wexford Youths W
77%
Draw or Wexford Youths W
80%

Winning margin

DLR Waves W wins by 2+
7%
Wexford Youths W wins by 2+
32%

Team goals

DLR Waves W 1+ goals
63%
DLR Waves W 2+ goals
26%
DLR Waves W 3+ goals
8%
Wexford Youths W 1+ goals
84%
Wexford Youths W 2+ goals
54%
Wexford Youths W 3+ goals
28%

Draw no bet

DLR Waves W (draw refunded)
26%
Wexford Youths W (draw refunded)
74%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
42%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

DLR Waves W at home — creates 1.00, concedes 1.17 · 6 matches

Wexford Youths W away — creates 2.50, concedes 1.00 · 8 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

DLR Waves W attack 1.00 + Wexford Youths W defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.00

Wexford Youths W attack 2.50 + DLR Waves W defence 1.17 → ÷2 → 1.83

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 57%?"

DLR Waves W scores more
20%
level
23%
Wexford Youths W scores more
57%

Wexford Youths W at 57% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 57% does not mean "Wexford Youths W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

All-Island Cup - Women: DLR Waves W 0–2 Wexford Youths W

Wexford Youths W beat DLR Waves W 2-0 in All-Island Cup - Women on June 7, 2025.

The match was played at UCD Bowl in Dublin.