Djurgardens IF 6–1 Landskrona BoIS: Result & Stats

Djurgardens IF

FT

6 – 1

HT: 3 – 0

Landskrona BoIS

L. Bergvall 90+2'

B. Šabović 79'

O. Berg 49'

J. Asoro 45+2'

E. Andersson 27'

G. Wikheim 12'

O. Diawara 86'

2/20/2023

Svenska Cupen · Group Stage - 1Tele2 Arena

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 16+ matches

Djurgardens IF56%

×Draw22%

Landskrona BoIS22%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Djurgardens IFExpected goals in this matchLandskrona BoIS

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.00

1.17

Djurgardens IF

2.00

Landskrona BoIS

1.17

Djurgardens IF creates 71% more chances

Season form · 19 home / 16 away

2.32

creates per match

1.50

0.84

allows per match

1.69

creates per match

Djurgardens IF

2.32

Landskrona BoIS

1.50

allows per match

Djurgardens IF

0.84

Landskrona BoIS

1.69

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Djurgardens IF+0.00on par

Landskrona BoIS+0.00on par

Total goals

Over61
Under39

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes60
No40

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Djurgardens IF ↓

Landskrona BoIS →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–04%

0–15%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–08%

1–110%

1–26%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–08%

2–110%

2–26%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–06%

3–17%

3–24%

3–32%

3–40%

4

4–03%

4–13%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

96%4%1.5

82%18%2.5

61%39%3.5

39%61%4.5

21%79%

Double chance

Djurgardens IF or draw

78%

Djurgardens IF or Landskrona BoIS

78%

Draw or Landskrona BoIS

44%

Winning margin

Djurgardens IF wins by 2+

33%

Landskrona BoIS wins by 2+

9%

Team goals

Djurgardens IF 1+ goals

86%

Djurgardens IF 2+ goals

59%

Djurgardens IF 3+ goals

32%

Landskrona BoIS 1+ goals

69%

Landskrona BoIS 2+ goals

33%

Landskrona BoIS 3+ goals

11%

Draw no bet

Djurgardens IF (draw refunded)

72%

Landskrona BoIS (draw refunded)

28%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

50%

Both score & under 3

10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Djurgardens IF at home — creates 2.32, concedes 0.84 · 19 matches

Landskrona BoIS away — creates 1.50, concedes 1.69 · 16 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Djurgardens IF attack 2.32 + Landskrona BoIS defence 1.69 → ÷2 → 2.00

Landskrona BoIS attack 1.50 + Djurgardens IF defence 0.84 → ÷2 → 1.17

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 56%?"

Djurgardens IF scores more

56%

level

22%

Landskrona BoIS scores more

22%

Djurgardens IF at 56% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 56% does not mean "Djurgardens IF will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

12'

22'

27'

41'

45+2'

49'

55'

A. Tkacz← V. Sundberg

55'

J. Perelman← E. Hedenquist

55'

K. Asare← R. Dzabic

55'

M. Widell← D. Edvardsson

61'

B. Šabović← R. Schüller

61'

H. Finndell← M. Eriksson

61'

J. Löfgren← M. Danielson

76'

H. Radetinac← J. Asoro

76'

L. Bergvall← G. Wikheim

78'

L. Sunesson← C. Jebara

79'

86'

89'

89'

90+2'

Djurgardens

Landskrona

▼

▼

▼

⚽

▼

▼

▼

⚽

▼

▼

⚽

▼

Wikheim

⚽

Berg

Edvardsen

⚽

▼

Asoro

Manager: K. Bergstrand

61'▲B. Šabović←▼R. Schüller

61'▲H. Finndell←▼M. Eriksson

61'▲J. Löfgren←▼M. Danielson

76'▲H. Radetinac←▼J. Asoro

76'▲L. Bergvall←▼G. Wikheim

Djurgardens IF substitutes

ŠabovićFinndellLöfgrenRadetinacBergvallPicornellBergström

Manager: B. Magnusson

55'▲A. Tkacz←▼V. Sundberg

55'▲J. Perelman←▼E. Hedenquist

55'▲K. Asare←▼R. Dzabic

55'▲M. Widell←▼D. Edvardsson

78'▲L. Sunesson←▼C. Jebara

Landskrona BoIS substitutes

TkaczPerelmanAsareWidellSunessonNilssonHildeman

Svenska Cupen: Djurgardens IF 6–1 Landskrona BoIS

Djurgardens IF beat Landskrona BoIS 6-1 in Svenska Cupen on February 20, 2023.

Goals: G. Wikheim (12'), E. Andersson (27'), J. Asoro (45+2'), O. Berg (49'), B. Šabović (79'), O. Diawara (86'), L. Bergvall (90+2').

The match was played at Tele2 Arena in Stockholm.

Djurgardens IF vs Landskrona BoIS — Svenska Cupen 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Svenska Cupen: Djurgardens IF 6–1 Landskrona BoIS