Djurgården W 1–0 Brommapojkarna W: Result & Stats

Djurgården W

FT

1 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Brommapojkarna W

T. Asland 54' (pen)

5/25/2025

Damallsvenskan · Round 9Stockholms Olympiastadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 7+ matches

Djurgården W57%

×Draw21%

Brommapojkarna W22%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Djurgården WExpected goals in this matchBrommapojkarna W

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.10

1.23

Djurgården W

2.10

Brommapojkarna W

1.23

Djurgården W creates 71% more chances

Season form · 9 home / 7 away

2.05

creates per match

1.25

1.22

allows per match

2.15

creates per match

Djurgården W

2.05

Brommapojkarna W

1.25

allows per match

Djurgården W

1.22

Brommapojkarna W

2.15

-0.27scores less than expected

finishing

-0.39scores less than expected

finishing

Djurgården W-0.27scores less

Brommapojkarna W-0.39scores less

Total goals

Over64
Under36

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes62
No38

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Djurgården W ↓

Brommapojkarna W →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–04%

0–14%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–08%

1–19%

1–26%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–08%

2–110%

2–26%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–06%

3–17%

3–24%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–03%

4–14%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (10%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

96%4%1.5

84%16%2.5

64%36%3.5

42%58%4.5

24%76%

Double chance

Djurgården W or draw

78%

Djurgården W or Brommapojkarna W

79%

Draw or Brommapojkarna W

43%

Winning margin

Djurgården W wins by 2+

35%

Brommapojkarna W wins by 2+

9%

Team goals

Djurgården W 1+ goals

88%

Djurgården W 2+ goals

62%

Djurgården W 3+ goals

35%

Brommapojkarna W 1+ goals

71%

Brommapojkarna W 2+ goals

35%

Brommapojkarna W 3+ goals

13%

Draw no bet

Djurgården W (draw refunded)

72%

Brommapojkarna W (draw refunded)

28%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

53%

Both score & under 3

9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Djurgården W at home — creates 2.05, concedes 1.22 · 9 matches

Brommapojkarna W away — creates 1.25, concedes 2.15 · 7 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Djurgården W attack 2.05 + Brommapojkarna W defence 2.15 → ÷2 → 2.10

Brommapojkarna W attack 1.25 + Djurgården W defence 1.22 → ÷2 → 1.23

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 57%?"

Djurgården W scores more

57%

level

21%

Brommapojkarna W scores more

22%

Djurgården W at 57% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 57% does not mean "Djurgården W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

35

A. Koivunen

Djurgården W · G

8.3

Match Events

22'

Aleksandra Lobanova

54'

T. AslandPenalty

62'

E. Westlund← E. Hed

62'

T. Almqvist← U. Watanabe

62'

P. Broddner-Klingspor← E. Toivio

71'

A. Svensson← A. Lobanova

71'

S. Frigren← I. Navren

73'

L. Duras← O. Ulenius

77'

M. Staffansson← M. Larsson

88'

Tove Almqvist

90'

A. Priks← E. Engstrom

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

DjurgårdenBrommapojkarna

Overview

61%Possession39%

8Total Shots9

1.64Expected Goals (xG)0.89

9Corners13

5Fouls9

Shots

8Total Shots9

2On Target4

1Off Target4

5Blocked1

6Inside Box5

2Outside Box4

Passing

61%Possession39%

484Total Passes315

369Accurate Passes208

76%Pass Accuracy66%

Goalkeeping

4Saves1

Discipline

5Fouls9

2Yellow Cards0

0Red Cards0

1Offsides0

Damallsvenskan: Djurgården W 1–0 Brommapojkarna W

Djurgården W beat Brommapojkarna W 1-0 in Damallsvenskan on May 25, 2025.

Goals: T. Asland (54' pen).

Djurgården W controlled possession (61%) and registered 8 shots to 9.

The match was played at Stockholms Olympiastadion in Stockholm.

Djurgården W vs Brommapojkarna W — Damallsvenskan 2020

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Damallsvenskan: Djurgården W 1–0 Brommapojkarna W