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Dinaz Vyshhorod vs Munkács — Druha Liga - Group A 2019

Dinaz Vyshhorod
Dinaz Vyshhorod
CANC
14:00
Munkács
Munkács
5/14/2022Druha Liga - Group ADruha Liga - Group A · Group A - 29Stadion Dinaz

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 9+ matches

Dinaz Vyshhorod43%
×Draw25%
Munkács32%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Dinaz Vyshhorod
1.50
Munkács
1.26

Dinaz Vyshhorod creates 19% more chances

Season form · 46 home / 9 away

creates per match

Dinaz Vyshhorod
1.67
Munkács
1.22

allows per match

Dinaz Vyshhorod
1.30
Munkács
1.33

finishing

Dinaz Vyshhorod+0.00on par
Munkács+0.00on par

Total goals

52%Over
  • Over52
  • Under48

Close call

Both teams score

56%Yes
  • Yes56
  • No44

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Dinaz Vyshhorod ↓

Munkács →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–18%
0–25%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–010%
1–112%
1–28%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–14%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
76%24%2.5
52%48%3.5
30%70%4.5
15%85%

Double chance

Dinaz Vyshhorod or draw
68%
Dinaz Vyshhorod or Munkács
75%
Draw or Munkács
57%

Winning margin

Dinaz Vyshhorod wins by 2+
21%
Munkács wins by 2+
14%

Team goals

Dinaz Vyshhorod 1+ goals
78%
Dinaz Vyshhorod 2+ goals
44%
Dinaz Vyshhorod 3+ goals
19%
Munkács 1+ goals
72%
Munkács 2+ goals
36%
Munkács 3+ goals
13%

Draw no bet

Dinaz Vyshhorod (draw refunded)
57%
Munkács (draw refunded)
43%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
44%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Dinaz Vyshhorod at home — creates 1.67, concedes 1.30 · 46 matches

Munkács away — creates 1.22, concedes 1.33 · 9 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Dinaz Vyshhorod attack 1.67 + Munkács defence 1.33 → ÷2 → 1.50

Munkács attack 1.22 + Dinaz Vyshhorod defence 1.30 → ÷2 → 1.26

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 43%?"

Dinaz Vyshhorod scores more
43%
level
25%
Munkács scores more
32%

Dinaz Vyshhorod at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "Dinaz Vyshhorod will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Dinaz Vyshhorod host Munkács

May 14, 2022: Dinaz Vyshhorod take on Munkács in Druha Liga - Group A. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Dinaz Vyshhorod host Munkács at Stadion Dinaz.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.