Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Dinaz Vyshhorod vs Kalush — Druha Liga - Group A 2019

Dinaz Vyshhorod
Dinaz Vyshhorod
CANC
00:00
Kalush
Kalush
5/6/2020Druha Liga - Group ADruha Liga - Group A · Group A - 30

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 10+ matches

Dinaz Vyshhorod35%
×Draw27%
Kalush38%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Dinaz Vyshhorod
1.19
Kalush
1.25

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 46 home / 10 away

creates per match

Dinaz Vyshhorod
1.67
Kalush
1.20

allows per match

Dinaz Vyshhorod
1.30
Kalush
0.70

finishing

Dinaz Vyshhorod+0.00on par
Kalush+0.00on par

Total goals

56%Under
  • Under56
  • Over44

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

50%No
  • No50
  • Yes50

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Dinaz Vyshhorod ↓

Kalush →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–09%
0–111%
0–27%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–010%
1–113%
1–28%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–18%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–02%
3–13%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
91%9%1.5
70%30%2.5
44%56%3.5
23%77%4.5
10%90%

Double chance

Dinaz Vyshhorod or draw
62%
Dinaz Vyshhorod or Kalush
73%
Draw or Kalush
65%

Winning margin

Dinaz Vyshhorod wins by 2+
15%
Kalush wins by 2+
16%

Team goals

Dinaz Vyshhorod 1+ goals
70%
Dinaz Vyshhorod 2+ goals
33%
Dinaz Vyshhorod 3+ goals
12%
Kalush 1+ goals
71%
Kalush 2+ goals
36%
Kalush 3+ goals
13%

Draw no bet

Dinaz Vyshhorod (draw refunded)
48%
Kalush (draw refunded)
52%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
37%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Dinaz Vyshhorod at home — creates 1.67, concedes 1.30 · 46 matches

Kalush away — creates 1.20, concedes 0.70 · 10 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Dinaz Vyshhorod attack 1.67 + Kalush defence 0.70 → ÷2 → 1.19

Kalush attack 1.20 + Dinaz Vyshhorod defence 1.30 → ÷2 → 1.25

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 38%?"

Dinaz Vyshhorod scores more
35%
level
27%
Kalush scores more
38%

Kalush at 38% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 38% does not mean "Kalush will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Dinaz Vyshhorod vs Kalush — Match Preview

Dinaz Vyshhorod face Kalush on May 6, 2020 in this Druha Liga - Group A fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.