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Dinamo Moskva W vs CSKA Moskva W — Supreme Division Women 2020

Dinamo Moskva W
Dinamo Moskva W
Preview
10:00
CSKA Moskva W
CSKA Moskva W
10/24/2026Supreme Division WomenSupreme Division Women · Round 23UTB Novogorsk-Dynamo
Big match
53%
CSKA Moskva W
model favours
23%25%53%

CSKA Moskva W have won 8 of the last 8 meetings

brightest fact of this match

0–1
likely score
51%
under 2.5 goals
51%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 43+ matches

Dinamo Moskva W23%
×Draw25%
CSKA Moskva W53%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Dinamo Moskva W
1.00
CSKA Moskva W
1.65

CSKA Moskva W creates 65% more chances

Season form · 43 home / 75 away

creates per match

Dinamo Moskva W
1.53
CSKA Moskva W
2.16

allows per match

Dinamo Moskva W
1.14
CSKA Moskva W
0.47

finishing

Dinamo Moskva W+0.00on par
CSKA Moskva W+0.00on par

Total goals

51%Under
  • Under51
  • Over49

Close call

Both teams score

51%Yes
  • Yes51
  • No49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Dinamo Moskva W ↓

CSKA Moskva W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–112%
0–210%
0–35%
0–42%
1
1–07%
1–112%
1–210%
1–35%
1–42%
2
2–04%
2–16%
2–25%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–01%
3–12%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–00%
4–10%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
74%26%2.5
49%51%3.5
27%73%4.5
13%87%

Double chance

Dinamo Moskva W or draw
47%
Dinamo Moskva W or CSKA Moskva W
75%
Draw or CSKA Moskva W
77%

Winning margin

Dinamo Moskva W wins by 2+
8%
CSKA Moskva W wins by 2+
28%

Team goals

Dinamo Moskva W 1+ goals
63%
Dinamo Moskva W 2+ goals
26%
Dinamo Moskva W 3+ goals
8%
CSKA Moskva W 1+ goals
81%
CSKA Moskva W 2+ goals
49%
CSKA Moskva W 3+ goals
23%

Draw no bet

Dinamo Moskva W (draw refunded)
30%
CSKA Moskva W (draw refunded)
70%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
39%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Dinamo Moskva W at home — creates 1.53, concedes 1.14 · 43 matches

CSKA Moskva W away — creates 2.16, concedes 0.47 · 75 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Dinamo Moskva W attack 1.53 + CSKA Moskva W defence 0.47 → ÷2 → 1.00

CSKA Moskva W attack 2.16 + Dinamo Moskva W defence 1.14 → ÷2 → 1.65

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 53%?"

Dinamo Moskva W scores more
23%
level
25%
CSKA Moskva W scores more
53%

CSKA Moskva W at 53% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 53% does not mean "CSKA Moskva W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Dinamo Moskva W win just 18% against the top half (vs 62% against the bottom)
  • CSKA Moskva W win just 54% against the top half (vs 83% against the bottom)

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
W
WDWWL
W
WDWW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Dinamo Moskva W host CSKA Moskva W

October 24, 2026: Dinamo Moskva W take on CSKA Moskva W in Supreme Division Women. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Dinamo Moskva W host CSKA Moskva W at UTB Novogorsk-Dynamo.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.