Dinamo Moskva U20 6–0 Ufa U20: Result & Stats

Dinamo Moskva U20

FT

6 – 0

Ufa U20

9/15/2019

Youth Championship · Round 9UTB Novogorsk-Dynamo

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 20+ matches

Dinamo Moskva U2069%

×Draw17%

Ufa U2014%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.3%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Dinamo Moskva U20Expected goals in this matchUfa U20

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.60

1.11

Dinamo Moskva U20

2.60

Ufa U20

1.11

Dinamo Moskva U20 creates 134% more chances

Season form · 20 home / 40 away

2.95

creates per match

0.97

1.25

allows per match

2.25

creates per match

Dinamo Moskva U20

2.95

Ufa U20

0.97

allows per match

Dinamo Moskva U20

1.25

Ufa U20

2.25

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Dinamo Moskva U20+0.00on par

Ufa U20+0.00on par

Total goals

Over71
Under29

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes62
No38

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Dinamo Moskva U20 ↓

Ufa U20 →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–02%

0–13%

0–22%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–06%

1–17%

1–24%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–08%

2–19%

2–25%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–07%

3–18%

3–24%

3–32%

3–40%

4

4–05%

4–15%

4–23%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (9%) · grid covers 89% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

98%2%1.5

88%12%2.5

71%29%3.5

50%50%4.5

30%70%

Double chance

Dinamo Moskva U20 or draw

86%

Dinamo Moskva U20 or Ufa U20

83%

Draw or Ufa U20

31%

Winning margin

Dinamo Moskva U20 wins by 2+

47%

Ufa U20 wins by 2+

5%

Team goals

Dinamo Moskva U20 1+ goals

92%

Dinamo Moskva U20 2+ goals

73%

Dinamo Moskva U20 3+ goals

47%

Ufa U20 1+ goals

67%

Ufa U20 2+ goals

30%

Ufa U20 3+ goals

10%

Draw no bet

Dinamo Moskva U20 (draw refunded)

83%

Ufa U20 (draw refunded)

17%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

55%

Both score & under 3

7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Dinamo Moskva U20 at home — creates 2.95, concedes 1.25 · 20 matches

Ufa U20 away — creates 0.97, concedes 2.25 · 40 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Dinamo Moskva U20 attack 2.95 + Ufa U20 defence 2.25 → ÷2 → 2.60

Ufa U20 attack 0.97 + Dinamo Moskva U20 defence 1.25 → ÷2 → 1.11

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 69%?"

Dinamo Moskva U20 scores more

69%

level

17%

Ufa U20 scores more

14%

Dinamo Moskva U20 at 69% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 69% does not mean "Dinamo Moskva U20 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Youth Championship: Dinamo Moskva U20 6–0 Ufa U20

Dinamo Moskva U20 beat Ufa U20 6-0 in Youth Championship on September 15, 2019.

The match was played at UTB Novogorsk-Dynamo in Khimki.

Dinamo Moskva U20 vs Ufa U20 — Youth Championship 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Head to Head

Youth Championship: Dinamo Moskva U20 6–0 Ufa U20