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Dinamo Moskva II vs Zenit 2 — Second League A - Fall Season Silver 2023

Dinamo Moskva II
Dinamo Moskva II
Preview
15:00
Zenit 2
Zenit 2
9/12/2026Second League A - Fall Season SilverSecond League A - Fall Season Silver · Division A Silver - 9
Big match
53%
Dinamo Moskva II
model favours
53%21%26%

Dinamo Moskva II score first in only 13% of matches

brightest fact of this match

2–1
likely score
67%
over 2.5 goals
65%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 9+ matches

Dinamo Moskva II53%
×Draw21%
Zenit 226%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Dinamo Moskva II
2.06
Zenit 2
1.39

Dinamo Moskva II creates 48% more chances

Season form · 9 home / 9 away

creates per match

Dinamo Moskva II
1.78
Zenit 2
1.00

allows per match

Dinamo Moskva II
1.78
Zenit 2
2.33

finishing

Dinamo Moskva II+0.00on par
Zenit 2+0.00on par

Total goals

67%Over
  • Over67
  • Under33

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

65%Yes
  • Yes65
  • No35

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Dinamo Moskva II ↓

Zenit 2 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–14%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–07%
1–19%
1–26%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–27%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–16%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
86%14%2.5
67%33%3.5
45%55%4.5
26%74%

Double chance

Dinamo Moskva II or draw
74%
Dinamo Moskva II or Zenit 2
79%
Draw or Zenit 2
47%

Winning margin

Dinamo Moskva II wins by 2+
31%
Zenit 2 wins by 2+
11%

Team goals

Dinamo Moskva II 1+ goals
87%
Dinamo Moskva II 2+ goals
61%
Dinamo Moskva II 3+ goals
34%
Zenit 2 1+ goals
75%
Zenit 2 2+ goals
40%
Zenit 2 3+ goals
16%

Draw no bet

Dinamo Moskva II (draw refunded)
67%
Zenit 2 (draw refunded)
33%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
56%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Dinamo Moskva II at home — creates 1.78, concedes 1.78 · 9 matches

Zenit 2 away — creates 1.00, concedes 2.33 · 9 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Dinamo Moskva II attack 1.78 + Zenit 2 defence 2.33 → ÷2 → 2.06

Zenit 2 attack 1.00 + Dinamo Moskva II defence 1.78 → ÷2 → 1.39

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 53%?"

Dinamo Moskva II scores more
53%
level
21%
Zenit 2 scores more
26%

Dinamo Moskva II at 53% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 53% does not mean "Dinamo Moskva II will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • 91% of Zenit 2’s matches go over 2.5 goals
  • Both sides lean high-scoring (67% and 91% over 2.5)
  • Both teams score in 82% of Zenit 2’s matches
  • 67% of Dinamo Moskva II’s matches go over 2.5 goals
  • Both teams scored in 8 of the last 9 meetings

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
II
LDDLD
2
LLWLW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Dinamo Moskva II face Zenit 2 (Second League A - Fall Season Silver)

Second League A - Fall Season Silver returns with Dinamo Moskva II hosting Zenit 2. Match starts September 12, 2026. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.