Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Dinamo Moskva II vs Tyumen — Second League A - Fall Season Silver 2023

Dinamo Moskva II
Dinamo Moskva II
Preview
15:00
Tyumen
Tyumen
7/25/2026Second League A - Fall Season SilverSecond League A - Fall Season Silver · Division A Silver - 2
47%
Dinamo Moskva II
model favours
47%24%29%

Tyumen score first in only 8% of matches

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
56%
over 2.5 goals
59%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 9+ matches

Dinamo Moskva II47%
×Draw24%
Tyumen29%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Dinamo Moskva II
1.67
Tyumen
1.28

Dinamo Moskva II creates 30% more chances

Season form · 9 home / 9 away

creates per match

Dinamo Moskva II
1.78
Tyumen
0.78

allows per match

Dinamo Moskva II
1.78
Tyumen
1.56

finishing

Dinamo Moskva II+0.00on par
Tyumen+0.00on par

Total goals

56%Over
  • Over56
  • Under44

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

59%Yes
  • Yes59
  • No41

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Dinamo Moskva II ↓

Tyumen →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–17%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–09%
1–111%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–15%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
79%21%2.5
56%44%3.5
34%66%4.5
17%83%

Double chance

Dinamo Moskva II or draw
71%
Dinamo Moskva II or Tyumen
76%
Draw or Tyumen
53%

Winning margin

Dinamo Moskva II wins by 2+
24%
Tyumen wins by 2+
12%

Team goals

Dinamo Moskva II 1+ goals
81%
Dinamo Moskva II 2+ goals
50%
Dinamo Moskva II 3+ goals
23%
Tyumen 1+ goals
72%
Tyumen 2+ goals
37%
Tyumen 3+ goals
14%

Draw no bet

Dinamo Moskva II (draw refunded)
61%
Tyumen (draw refunded)
39%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
47%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Dinamo Moskva II at home — creates 1.78, concedes 1.78 · 9 matches

Tyumen away — creates 0.78, concedes 1.56 · 9 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Dinamo Moskva II attack 1.78 + Tyumen defence 1.56 → ÷2 → 1.67

Tyumen attack 0.78 + Dinamo Moskva II defence 1.78 → ÷2 → 1.28

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 47%?"

Dinamo Moskva II scores more
47%
level
24%
Tyumen scores more
29%

Dinamo Moskva II at 47% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 47% does not mean "Dinamo Moskva II will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Dinamo Moskva II score first in only 13% of matches
  • Tyumen have won 3 of the last 4 meetings
  • 67% of Dinamo Moskva II’s matches go over 2.5 goals
  • Their last 4 meetings averaged 5 goals

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
II
LDDLD
Tyumen
DLLDL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Dinamo Moskva II vs Tyumen — Match Preview

Dinamo Moskva II face Tyumen on July 25, 2026 in this Second League A - Fall Season Silver fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.