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Dinamo Minsk vs Slavia Mozyr — Premier League 2018

Dinamo Minsk
Dinamo Minsk
Preview
15:00
Slavia Mozyr
Slavia Mozyr
8/1/2026Premier LeaguePremier League · Round 16Stadion Dinamo
Big match
52%
Dinamo Minsk
model favours
52%25%24%

82% of Slavia Mozyr’s matches stay under 2.5 goals

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
50%
over 2.5 goals
52%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 103+ matches

Dinamo Minsk52%
×Draw25%
Slavia Mozyr24%
✓ Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.6%
Always home
44.7%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.6% correct across 576,853 matches, vs 44.7% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.9% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Dinamo Minsk
1.64
Slavia Mozyr
1.02

Dinamo Minsk creates 61% more chances

Season form · 117 home / 103 away

creates per match

Dinamo Minsk
1.77
Slavia Mozyr
1.30

allows per match

Dinamo Minsk
0.74
Slavia Mozyr
1.51

finishing

Dinamo Minsk+0.00on par
Slavia Mozyr+0.00on par

Total goals

50%Under
  • Under50
  • Over50

Close call

Both teams score

52%Yes
  • Yes52
  • No48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Dinamo Minsk ↓

Slavia Mozyr →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–17%
0–24%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–011%
1–112%
1–26%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–09%
2–110%
2–25%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–05%
3–15%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
74%26%2.5
50%50%3.5
28%72%4.5
13%87%

Double chance

Dinamo Minsk or draw
76%
Dinamo Minsk or Slavia Mozyr
75%
Draw or Slavia Mozyr
48%

Winning margin

Dinamo Minsk wins by 2+
28%
Slavia Mozyr wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

Dinamo Minsk 1+ goals
81%
Dinamo Minsk 2+ goals
49%
Dinamo Minsk 3+ goals
23%
Slavia Mozyr 1+ goals
64%
Slavia Mozyr 2+ goals
27%
Slavia Mozyr 3+ goals
8%

Draw no bet

Dinamo Minsk (draw refunded)
69%
Slavia Mozyr (draw refunded)
31%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
40%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Dinamo Minsk at home — creates 1.77, concedes 0.74 · 117 matches

Slavia Mozyr away — creates 1.30, concedes 1.51 · 103 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Dinamo Minsk attack 1.77 + Slavia Mozyr defence 1.51 → ÷2 → 1.64

Slavia Mozyr attack 1.30 + Dinamo Minsk defence 0.74 → ÷2 → 1.02

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 52%?"

Dinamo Minsk scores more
52%
level
25%
Slavia Mozyr scores more
24%

Dinamo Minsk at 52% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 52% does not mean "Dinamo Minsk will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Slavia Mozyr score first in only 29% of matches
  • 52% of Dinamo Minsk’s goals come after the 75th minute
  • Dinamo Minsk score first in only 33% of matches
  • Dinamo Minsk sit 1, Slavia Mozyr 12 in the table

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Style Matchup

Contrasting styles
Dinamo Minsk
Possession-dominant
Slavia Mozyr
Balanced
58%Possession54%
—Pass accuracy—
8.0ShotsBiggest gap7.0
—xG—
Pass acc.ShotsxGBox shareShot acc.Defense
Dinamo MinskSlavia Mozyr

Head-to-head

10 previous meetings

6
Dinamo Minsk
3
Draws
1
Slavia Mozyr
Avg goals: 2.7BTTS: 60%
2–13–13–10–32–0

Playing styles from match stats. Historical H2H record. Not a prediction.

Form
Minsk
WLWDW
Mozyr
LLDL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Dinamo Minsk host Slavia Mozyr

August 1, 2026: Dinamo Minsk take on Slavia Mozyr in Premier League. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Dinamo Minsk host Slavia Mozyr at Stadion Dinamo.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.