Dinamo Makhachkala vs Zenit — Cup 2019
Zenit are unbeaten in 12 straight
brightest fact of this match
Match Prediction
Statistical Prediction
Based on goals from last 7+ matches
Dinamo Makhachkala28%Zenit44%✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.
Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct
Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Expected goals in this match
What is xG?
Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.
The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.
Zenit creates 34% more chances
Season form · 7 home / 22 away
creates per match
allows per match
finishing
Total goals
- Under61
- Over39
Fewer than 3 goals likely
Both teams score
- No55
- Yes45
One side may not score
Score probability
Probability of each scoreline, %
Dinamo Makhachkala ↓
Most likely 0–1 (14%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines
More markets
Total goals
Double chance
Winning margin
Team goals
Draw no bet
Combos
Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.
How is this calculated?
Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.
Recent form of each side
Dinamo Makhachkala at home — creates 1.00, concedes 1.14 · 7 matches
Zenit away — creates 1.45, concedes 0.91 · 22 matches
⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.
Expected goals for this match
Dinamo Makhachkala attack 1.00 + Zenit defence 0.91 → ÷2 → 0.96
Zenit attack 1.45 + Dinamo Makhachkala defence 1.14 → ÷2 → 1.29
Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.
Chance of every scoreline
From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.
The answer to "why 44%?"
Zenit at 44% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.
What the model can't see
It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:
- injuries & suspensions
- the matchday lineup
- motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
- weather & pitch condition
- in-game coaching decisions
So 44% does not mean "Zenit will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
Match Insights
- Zenit have scored in 12 games running
- Dinamo Makhachkala score first in only 24% of matches
- Zenit have won 6 of the last 7 meetings
- Zenit score first in 67% of matches
- 67% of Zenit’s matches stay under 2.5 goals
- Both teams score in only 33% of Zenit’s matches
Based on historical data — not a prediction.
Probable lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff
Dinamo Makhachkala host Zenit on Tuesday, 13 October 2026 at 15:00. The match is part of the Cup 2019/2020 season.
Preview: Dinamo Makhachkala host Zenit
October 13, 2026: Dinamo Makhachkala take on Zenit in Cup. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.
Dinamo Makhachkala host Zenit at Anzhi Arena.
Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.