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Dinamo Helfort vs Austria XIII — Landesliga - Wien 2019

Dinamo Helfort
Dinamo Helfort
FT
4 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Austria XIII
Austria XIII
8/30/2025Landesliga - WienLandesliga - Wien · Wien - 3Sportplatz Helfort

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 61+ matches

Dinamo Helfort56%
×Draw21%
Austria XIII23%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Dinamo Helfort
2.10
Austria XIII
1.30

Dinamo Helfort creates 62% more chances

Season form · 61 home / 75 away

creates per match

Dinamo Helfort
2.28
Austria XIII
1.52

allows per match

Dinamo Helfort
1.08
Austria XIII
1.93

finishing

Dinamo Helfort+0.00on par
Austria XIII+0.00on par

Total goals

66%Over
  • Over66
  • Under34

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

64%Yes
  • Yes64
  • No36

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Dinamo Helfort ↓

Austria XIII →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–14%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–07%
1–19%
1–26%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–110%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–17%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–03%
4–14%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (10%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
85%15%2.5
66%34%3.5
44%56%4.5
25%75%

Double chance

Dinamo Helfort or draw
77%
Dinamo Helfort or Austria XIII
79%
Draw or Austria XIII
44%

Winning margin

Dinamo Helfort wins by 2+
33%
Austria XIII wins by 2+
10%

Team goals

Dinamo Helfort 1+ goals
88%
Dinamo Helfort 2+ goals
62%
Dinamo Helfort 3+ goals
35%
Austria XIII 1+ goals
73%
Austria XIII 2+ goals
37%
Austria XIII 3+ goals
14%

Draw no bet

Dinamo Helfort (draw refunded)
70%
Austria XIII (draw refunded)
30%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
55%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Dinamo Helfort at home — creates 2.28, concedes 1.08 · 61 matches

Austria XIII away — creates 1.52, concedes 1.93 · 75 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Dinamo Helfort attack 2.28 + Austria XIII defence 1.93 → ÷2 → 2.10

Austria XIII attack 1.52 + Dinamo Helfort defence 1.08 → ÷2 → 1.30

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 56%?"

Dinamo Helfort scores more
56%
level
21%
Austria XIII scores more
23%

Dinamo Helfort at 56% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 56% does not mean "Dinamo Helfort will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Landesliga - Wien: Dinamo Helfort 4–0 Austria XIII

Dinamo Helfort beat Austria XIII 4-0 in Landesliga - Wien on August 30, 2025.

The match was played at Sportplatz Helfort in Wien.