Dinamo Bucuresti 1–3 FC Zurich: Result & Stats

Dinamo Bucuresti

FT

1 – 3

HT: 1 – 1

FC Zurich

D. Politic 17'

J. Sabobo 87'

D. Reverson 76'

L. Kamberi 45'

1/8/2025

Friendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Topkapı Spor Kompleksi - grass

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Dinamo Bucuresti25%

×Draw18%

FC Zurich58%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 580,715 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.3% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Dinamo BucurestiExpected goals in this matchFC Zurich

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.85

2.83

Dinamo Bucuresti

1.85

FC Zurich

2.83

FC Zurich creates 53% more chances

Season form · 6 home / 13 away

2.17

creates per match

3.15

2.50

allows per match

1.54

creates per match

Dinamo Bucuresti

2.17

FC Zurich

3.15

allows per match

Dinamo Bucuresti

2.50

FC Zurich

1.54

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Dinamo Bucuresti+0.00on par

FC Zurich+0.00on par

Total goals

Over84
Under16

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes79
No21

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Dinamo Bucuresti ↓

FC Zurich →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–01%

0–13%

0–24%

0–34%

0–43%

1

1–02%

1–15%

1–27%

1–37%

1–45%

2

2–02%

2–15%

2–27%

2–36%

2–44%

3

3–01%

3–13%

3–24%

3–34%

3–43%

4

4–00%

4–11%

4–22%

4–32%

4–41%

Most likely 1–2 (7%) · grid covers 83% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

99%1%1.5

95%5%2.5

84%16%3.5

68%32%4.5

49%51%

Double chance

Dinamo Bucuresti or draw

42%

Dinamo Bucuresti or FC Zurich

82%

Draw or FC Zurich

75%

Winning margin

Dinamo Bucuresti wins by 2+

12%

FC Zurich wins by 2+

38%

Team goals

Dinamo Bucuresti 1+ goals

84%

Dinamo Bucuresti 2+ goals

55%

Dinamo Bucuresti 3+ goals

28%

FC Zurich 1+ goals

94%

FC Zurich 2+ goals

77%

FC Zurich 3+ goals

53%

Draw no bet

Dinamo Bucuresti (draw refunded)

30%

FC Zurich (draw refunded)

70%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

74%

Both score & under 3

5%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Dinamo Bucuresti at home — creates 2.17, concedes 2.50 · 6 matches

FC Zurich away — creates 3.15, concedes 1.54 · 13 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Dinamo Bucuresti attack 2.17 + FC Zurich defence 1.54 → ÷2 → 1.85

FC Zurich attack 3.15 + Dinamo Bucuresti defence 2.50 → ÷2 → 2.83

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 58%?"

Dinamo Bucuresti scores more

25%

level

18%

FC Zurich scores more

58%

FC Zurich at 58% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 58% does not mean "FC Zurich will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

17'

35'

45'

76'

87'

Dinamo

FC

25

Brecher

2

⚽

5

6

9

10

20

21

23

36

37

73

27

4

28

80

17

8

10

11

9

7

⚽

Politic

Manager: Željko Kopić

Manager: Mitchell van der Gaag

Friendlies Clubs: Dinamo Bucuresti 1–3 FC Zurich

FC Zurich beat Dinamo Bucuresti 3-1 in Friendlies Clubs on January 8, 2025.

Goals: D. Politic (17'), L. Kamberi (45'), D. Reverson (76'), J. Sabobo (87').

The match was played at Topkapı Spor Kompleksi - grass in Aksu.

Dinamo Bucuresti vs FC Zurich — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Friendlies Clubs: Dinamo Bucuresti 1–3 FC Zurich