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Dinamo Bucuresti vs FC Botosani — Liga I 2026

Dinamo Bucuresti
Dinamo Bucuresti
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
FC Botosani
FC Botosani
7/21/2025Liga ILiga I · Round 2Stadionul Arcul de Triumf

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 7+ matches

Dinamo Bucuresti60%
×Draw20%
FC Botosani20%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Dinamo Bucuresti
2.17
FC Botosani
1.18

Dinamo Bucuresti creates 84% more chances

Season form · 9 home / 7 away

creates per match

Dinamo Bucuresti
2.10
FC Botosani
1.03

allows per match

Dinamo Bucuresti
1.33
FC Botosani
2.24

finishing

Dinamo Bucuresti-0.32scores less
FC Botosani-0.17scores less

Total goals

65%Over
  • Over65
  • Under35

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

61%Yes
  • Yes61
  • No39

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Dinamo Bucuresti ↓

FC Botosani →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–14%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–08%
1–19%
1–25%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–110%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–06%
3–17%
3–24%
3–32%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–14%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (10%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
85%15%2.5
65%35%3.5
43%57%4.5
24%76%

Double chance

Dinamo Bucuresti or draw
80%
Dinamo Bucuresti or FC Botosani
80%
Draw or FC Botosani
40%

Winning margin

Dinamo Bucuresti wins by 2+
37%
FC Botosani wins by 2+
8%

Team goals

Dinamo Bucuresti 1+ goals
89%
Dinamo Bucuresti 2+ goals
64%
Dinamo Bucuresti 3+ goals
36%
FC Botosani 1+ goals
69%
FC Botosani 2+ goals
33%
FC Botosani 3+ goals
12%

Draw no bet

Dinamo Bucuresti (draw refunded)
75%
FC Botosani (draw refunded)
25%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
52%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Dinamo Bucuresti at home — creates 2.10, concedes 1.33 · 9 matches

FC Botosani away — creates 1.03, concedes 2.24 · 7 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Dinamo Bucuresti attack 2.10 + FC Botosani defence 2.24 → ÷2 → 2.17

FC Botosani attack 1.03 + Dinamo Bucuresti defence 1.33 → ÷2 → 1.18

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 60%?"

Dinamo Bucuresti scores more
60%
level
20%
FC Botosani scores more
20%

Dinamo Bucuresti at 60% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 60% does not mean "Dinamo Bucuresti will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Liga I: Dinamo Bucuresti 0–0 FC Botosani

Dinamo Bucuresti and FC Botosani drew 0-0 in Liga I on July 21, 2025.

The match was played at Stadionul Arcul de Triumf in Bucharest.