Scoreo

Dinamo Bucuresti vs CsikszeredaLiga I 2026

Dinamo Bucuresti
Dinamo Bucuresti
FT
40
HT: 10
Csikszereda
Csikszereda
A. Soro 83'
A. Musi 60'
M. Karamoko 50', 19' (pen)
11/8/2025Liga ILiga I · Round 16Stadionul Dinamo

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 15+ matches

Dinamo Bucuresti63%
×Draw20%
Csikszereda17%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 580,715 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.3% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Dinamo Bucuresti
2.08
Csikszereda
0.96

Dinamo Bucuresti creates 117% more chances

Season form · 24 home / 15 away

creates per match

Dinamo Bucuresti
1.80
Csikszereda
0.89

allows per match

Dinamo Bucuresti
1.02
Csikszereda
2.35

finishing

Dinamo Bucuresti-0.42scores less
Csikszereda-0.29scores less

Total goals

58%Over
  • Over58
  • Under42

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

54%Yes
  • Yes54
  • No46

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Dinamo Bucuresti

Csikszereda
0
1
2
3
4
0
005%
015%
022%
031%
040%
1
1010%
1110%
125%
131%
140%
2
2010%
2110%
225%
232%
240%
3
307%
317%
323%
331%
340%
4
404%
414%
422%
431%
440%

Most likely 1–0 (10%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
81%19%2.5
58%42%3.5
36%64%4.5
19%81%

Double chance

Dinamo Bucuresti or draw
83%
Dinamo Bucuresti or Csikszereda
80%
Draw or Csikszereda
37%

Winning margin

Dinamo Bucuresti wins by 2+
39%
Csikszereda wins by 2+
6%

Team goals

Dinamo Bucuresti 1+ goals
87%
Dinamo Bucuresti 2+ goals
61%
Dinamo Bucuresti 3+ goals
34%
Csikszereda 1+ goals
62%
Csikszereda 2+ goals
25%
Csikszereda 3+ goals
7%

Draw no bet

Dinamo Bucuresti (draw refunded)
79%
Csikszereda (draw refunded)
21%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
44%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Dinamo Bucuresti at homecreates 1.80, concedes 1.02 · 24 matches

Csikszereda awaycreates 0.89, concedes 2.35 · 15 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Dinamo Bucuresti attack 1.80 + Csikszereda defence 2.35 → ÷2 → 2.08

Csikszereda attack 0.89 + Dinamo Bucuresti defence 1.02 → ÷2 → 0.96

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 63%?"

Dinamo Bucuresti scores more
63%
level
20%
Csikszereda scores more
17%

Dinamo Bucuresti at 63% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 63% does not mean "Dinamo Bucuresti will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

7
A. MusiDinamo BucurestiDinamo Bucuresti · F
9.5

Possession

61%Dinamo

Shots

22Dinamo

Pass accuracy

54%Dinamo

Statistics

DinamoCsikszereda
Overview
61%Possession39%
22Total Shots6
3.66Expected Goals (xG)0.25
9Corners2
10Fouls11
Shots
22Total Shots6
13On Target0
6Off Target5
3Blocked1
18Inside Box1
4Outside Box5
Passing
61%Possession39%
472Total Passes306
415Accurate Passes230
88%Pass Accuracy75%
Goalkeeping
0Saves9
Discipline
10Fouls11
2Yellow Cards3
2Offsides0

Match Recap: Dinamo Bucuresti vs Csikszereda

Dinamo Bucuresti beat Csikszereda 4-0 in Liga I on November 8, 2025.

Goals: M. Karamoko (19' pen, 50'), A. Musi (60'), A. Soro (83').

Dinamo Bucuresti controlled possession (61%) and registered 22 shots to 6.

The match was played at Stadionul Dinamo in Bucharest.