Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Dinamo Brest vs Belshina — Premier League 2018

Dinamo Brest
Dinamo Brest
Preview
15:00
Belshina
Belshina
8/1/2026Premier LeaguePremier League · Round 16Regional Sport Complex Brestskiy
Big match
56%
Dinamo Brest
model favours
56%22%22%

Dinamo Brest have won 3 in a row

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
59%
over 2.5 goals
58%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 51+ matches

Dinamo Brest56%
×Draw22%
Belshina22%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.4%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.4% correct across 574,295 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Dinamo Brest
1.93
Belshina
1.14

Dinamo Brest creates 69% more chances

Season form · 116 home / 51 away

creates per match

Dinamo Brest
1.74
Belshina
1.08

allows per match

Dinamo Brest
1.19
Belshina
2.12

finishing

Dinamo Brest+0.00on par
Belshina+0.00on par

Total goals

59%Over
  • Over59
  • Under41

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

58%Yes
  • Yes58
  • No42

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Dinamo Brest ↓

Belshina →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–15%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–09%
1–110%
1–26%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–09%
2–110%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–06%
3–16%
3–24%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
81%19%2.5
59%41%3.5
37%63%4.5
19%81%

Double chance

Dinamo Brest or draw
78%
Dinamo Brest or Belshina
78%
Draw or Belshina
44%

Winning margin

Dinamo Brest wins by 2+
32%
Belshina wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

Dinamo Brest 1+ goals
85%
Dinamo Brest 2+ goals
57%
Dinamo Brest 3+ goals
30%
Belshina 1+ goals
68%
Belshina 2+ goals
32%
Belshina 3+ goals
11%

Draw no bet

Dinamo Brest (draw refunded)
71%
Belshina (draw refunded)
29%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
48%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Dinamo Brest at home — creates 1.74, concedes 1.19 · 116 matches

Belshina away — creates 1.08, concedes 2.12 · 51 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Dinamo Brest attack 1.74 + Belshina defence 2.12 → ÷2 → 1.93

Belshina attack 1.08 + Dinamo Brest defence 1.19 → ÷2 → 1.14

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 56%?"

Dinamo Brest scores more
56%
level
22%
Belshina scores more
22%

Dinamo Brest at 56% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 56% does not mean "Dinamo Brest will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Dinamo Brest are unbeaten in 5 straight
  • Both teams score in 82% of Belshina’s matches
  • 67% of Dinamo Brest’s matches go over 2.5 goals
  • 32% of Dinamo Brest’s goals come after the 75th minute

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
Brest
WWWDW
Belshina
WDLLD

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Dinamo Brest vs Belshina — Match Preview

Dinamo Brest face Belshina on August 1, 2026 in this Premier League fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Dinamo Brest host Belshina at Regional Sport Complex Brestskiy.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.