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Dianella White Eagle vs Rockingham City — Western Australia State League 1 2026

Dianella White Eagle
Dianella White Eagle
FT
3 – 1
HT: 2 – 0
Rockingham City
Rockingham City
9/6/2024Western Australia State League 1Western Australia State League 1 · Round 21Dianella Reserve 3

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 11+ matches

Dianella White Eagle68%
×Draw17%
Rockingham City16%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Dianella White Eagle
2.71
Rockingham City
1.25

Dianella White Eagle creates 117% more chances

Season form · 22 home / 11 away

creates per match

Dianella White Eagle
2.68
Rockingham City
1.27

allows per match

Dianella White Eagle
1.23
Rockingham City
2.73

finishing

Dianella White Eagle+0.00on par
Rockingham City+0.00on par

Total goals

75%Over
  • Over75
  • Under25

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

66%Yes
  • Yes66
  • No34

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Dianella White Eagle ↓

Rockingham City →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–12%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–05%
1–17%
1–24%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–06%
3–18%
3–25%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–04%
4–15%
4–23%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (9%) · grid covers 87% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
90%10%2.5
75%25%3.5
55%45%4.5
35%65%

Double chance

Dianella White Eagle or draw
84%
Dianella White Eagle or Rockingham City
83%
Draw or Rockingham City
32%

Winning margin

Dianella White Eagle wins by 2+
47%
Rockingham City wins by 2+
6%

Team goals

Dianella White Eagle 1+ goals
93%
Dianella White Eagle 2+ goals
75%
Dianella White Eagle 3+ goals
50%
Rockingham City 1+ goals
71%
Rockingham City 2+ goals
36%
Rockingham City 3+ goals
13%

Draw no bet

Dianella White Eagle (draw refunded)
81%
Rockingham City (draw refunded)
19%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
60%
Both score & under 3
7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Dianella White Eagle at home — creates 2.68, concedes 1.23 · 22 matches

Rockingham City away — creates 1.27, concedes 2.73 · 11 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Dianella White Eagle attack 2.68 + Rockingham City defence 2.73 → ÷2 → 2.71

Rockingham City attack 1.27 + Dianella White Eagle defence 1.23 → ÷2 → 1.25

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 68%?"

Dianella White Eagle scores more
68%
level
17%
Rockingham City scores more
16%

Dianella White Eagle at 68% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 68% does not mean "Dianella White Eagle will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Dianella White Eagle vs Rockingham City

Dianella White Eagle beat Rockingham City 3-1 in Western Australia State League 1 on September 6, 2024.

The match was played at Dianella Reserve 3 in Perth.