Deportivo Laferrere 3–0 Flandria: Result & Stats

Deportivo Laferrere

FT

3 – 0

HT: 3 – 0

Flandria

L. Goberville 24'

F. Ortiz 10', 3'

4/19/2025

Primera B Metropolitana · Apertura - 12Ciudad de Laferrere Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 53+ matches

Deportivo Laferrere36%

×Draw31%

Flandria33%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Deportivo LaferrereExpected goals in this matchFlandria

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.03

0.96

Deportivo Laferrere

1.03

Flandria

0.96

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 53 home / 104 away

1.11

creates per match

0.84

1.08

allows per match

0.95

creates per match

Deportivo Laferrere

1.11

Flandria

0.84

allows per match

Deportivo Laferrere

1.08

Flandria

0.95

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Deportivo Laferrere+0.00on par

Flandria+0.00on par

Total goals

Under68
Over32

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No60
Yes40

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Deportivo Laferrere ↓

Flandria →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–014%

0–113%

0–26%

0–32%

0–40%

1

1–014%

1–114%

1–26%

1–32%

1–40%

2

2–07%

2–17%

2–23%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–02%

3–12%

3–21%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 0–0 (14%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

86%14%1.5

59%41%2.5

32%68%3.5

14%86%4.5

5%95%

Double chance

Deportivo Laferrere or draw

67%

Deportivo Laferrere or Flandria

69%

Draw or Flandria

64%

Winning margin

Deportivo Laferrere wins by 2+

14%

Flandria wins by 2+

12%

Team goals

Deportivo Laferrere 1+ goals

64%

Deportivo Laferrere 2+ goals

28%

Deportivo Laferrere 3+ goals

9%

Flandria 1+ goals

62%

Flandria 2+ goals

25%

Flandria 3+ goals

7%

Draw no bet

Deportivo Laferrere (draw refunded)

53%

Flandria (draw refunded)

47%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

26%

Both score & under 3

14%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Deportivo Laferrere at home — creates 1.11, concedes 1.08 · 53 matches

Flandria away — creates 0.84, concedes 0.95 · 104 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Deportivo Laferrere attack 1.11 + Flandria defence 0.95 → ÷2 → 1.03

Flandria attack 0.84 + Deportivo Laferrere defence 1.08 → ÷2 → 0.96

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 36%?"

Deportivo Laferrere scores more

36%

level

31%

Flandria scores more

33%

Deportivo Laferrere at 36% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 36% does not mean "Deportivo Laferrere will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

3'

10'

24'

34'

41'

43'

45+2'

46'

J. Esteche← F. Bustamante

46'

M. Ascacibar← F. Schiavoni

49'

R. Digion← F. Ortiz

51'

M. Correa

55'

J. Orensans← M. Correa

55'

B. Gonzalez← A. E. Gonzalez

66'

66'

67'

67'

67'

69'

M. Benitez← L. Goberville

71'

G. Fernandez← C. Gugenheim

81'

C. Luduena← J. Palacio

86'

Deportivo

Flandria

1

Figueroa

4

▼

Correa

2

Morales

11

▼

Bustamant

6

Morales

3

Lorenzo

7

▼

Schiavoni

5

Nalerio

8

▼

Gonzalez

10

Salega

9

▼

1

4

2

10

⚽

▼

6

7

3

8

5

11

⚽2

▼

Ortiz

9

▼

Gugenheim

Manager: P. Nieva

49'▲R. Digion←▼F. Ortiz

69'▲M. Benitez←▼L. Goberville

71'▲G. Fernandez←▼C. Gugenheim

Deportivo Laferrere substitutes

12Martinez13Solis14Paulides15Cantero16Benitez17Digion18Mhamed19Samir20Fernandez

46'▲J. Esteche←▼F. Bustamante

46'▲M. Ascacibar←▼F. Schiavoni

55'▲J. Orensans←▼M. Correa

55'▲B. Gonzalez←▼A. E. Gonzalez

81'▲C. Luduena←▼J. Palacio

Flandria substitutes

12Ramos13Orensans15Luduena16Gonzalez17Velazco18Blanco19Esteche20Ascacibar

Primera B Metropolitana: Deportivo Laferrere 3–0 Flandria

Deportivo Laferrere beat Flandria 3-0 in Primera B Metropolitana on April 19, 2025.

Goals: F. Ortiz (3', 10'), L. Goberville (24').

The match was played at Ciudad de Laferrere Stadium in Buenos Aires.

Deportivo Laferrere vs Flandria — Primera B Metropolitana 2018

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Primera B Metropolitana: Deportivo Laferrere 3–0 Flandria