Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Deportivo Cuenca Juniors vs Ind. Juniors — Liga Pro Serie B 2018

Deportivo Cuenca Juniors
Deportivo Cuenca Juniors
FT
2 – 1
HT: 1 – 1
Ind. Juniors
Ind. Juniors
K. Valencia 76'
J. Preciado 36'
K. Montano 15'
4/10/2026Liga Pro Serie BLiga Pro Serie B · Round 4

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 8+ matches

Deportivo Cuenca Juniors47%
×Draw29%
Ind. Juniors24%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Deportivo Cuenca Juniors
1.26
Ind. Juniors
0.82

Deportivo Cuenca Juniors creates 54% more chances

Season form · 8 home / 124 away

creates per match

Deportivo Cuenca Juniors
1.38
Ind. Juniors
1.01

allows per match

Deportivo Cuenca Juniors
0.63
Ind. Juniors
1.15

finishing

Deportivo Cuenca Juniors+0.00on par
Ind. Juniors+0.00on par

Total goals

66%Under
  • Under66
  • Over34

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

60%No
  • No60
  • Yes40

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Deportivo Cuenca Juniors ↓

Ind. Juniors →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–012%
0–110%
0–24%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–016%
1–113%
1–25%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–010%
2–18%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–04%
3–13%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (16%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
88%12%1.5
62%38%2.5
34%66%3.5
16%84%4.5
6%94%

Double chance

Deportivo Cuenca Juniors or draw
76%
Deportivo Cuenca Juniors or Ind. Juniors
71%
Draw or Ind. Juniors
53%

Winning margin

Deportivo Cuenca Juniors wins by 2+
21%
Ind. Juniors wins by 2+
8%

Team goals

Deportivo Cuenca Juniors 1+ goals
72%
Deportivo Cuenca Juniors 2+ goals
36%
Deportivo Cuenca Juniors 3+ goals
13%
Ind. Juniors 1+ goals
56%
Ind. Juniors 2+ goals
20%
Ind. Juniors 3+ goals
5%

Draw no bet

Deportivo Cuenca Juniors (draw refunded)
66%
Ind. Juniors (draw refunded)
34%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
27%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Deportivo Cuenca Juniors at home — creates 1.38, concedes 0.63 · 8 matches

Ind. Juniors away — creates 1.01, concedes 1.15 · 124 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Deportivo Cuenca Juniors attack 1.38 + Ind. Juniors defence 1.15 → ÷2 → 1.26

Ind. Juniors attack 1.01 + Deportivo Cuenca Juniors defence 0.63 → ÷2 → 0.82

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 47%?"

Deportivo Cuenca Juniors scores more
47%
level
29%
Ind. Juniors scores more
24%

Deportivo Cuenca Juniors at 47% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 47% does not mean "Deportivo Cuenca Juniors will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

15'
K. Montano
36'
J. Preciado
76'
K. Valencia

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Deportivo Cuenca Juniors vs Ind. Juniors

Deportivo Cuenca Juniors beat Ind. Juniors 2-1 in Liga Pro Serie B on April 10, 2026.

Goals: K. Montano (15'), J. Preciado (36'), K. Valencia (76').