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Deportivo Coopsol vs Deportivo Llacuabamba — Segunda División 2018

Deportivo Coopsol
Deportivo Coopsol
FT
1 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Deportivo Llacuabamba
Deportivo Llacuabamba
8/2/2025Segunda DivisiónSegunda División · Relegation Round - 3Estadio Romulo Shaw Cisneros

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 61+ matches

Deportivo Coopsol48%
×Draw26%
Deportivo Llacuabamba26%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Deportivo Coopsol
1.49
Deportivo Llacuabamba
1.02

Deportivo Coopsol creates 46% more chances

Season form · 90 home / 61 away

creates per match

Deportivo Coopsol
1.32
Deportivo Llacuabamba
1.03

allows per match

Deportivo Coopsol
1.02
Deportivo Llacuabamba
1.66

finishing

Deportivo Coopsol+0.00on par
Deportivo Llacuabamba+0.00on par

Total goals

54%Under
  • Under54
  • Over46

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

50%No
  • No50
  • Yes50

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Deportivo Coopsol ↓

Deportivo Llacuabamba →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–08%
0–18%
0–24%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–012%
1–112%
1–26%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–09%
2–19%
2–25%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–04%
3–15%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
92%8%1.5
71%29%2.5
46%54%3.5
24%76%4.5
11%89%

Double chance

Deportivo Coopsol or draw
74%
Deportivo Coopsol or Deportivo Llacuabamba
74%
Draw or Deportivo Llacuabamba
52%

Winning margin

Deportivo Coopsol wins by 2+
24%
Deportivo Llacuabamba wins by 2+
10%

Team goals

Deportivo Coopsol 1+ goals
77%
Deportivo Coopsol 2+ goals
44%
Deportivo Coopsol 3+ goals
19%
Deportivo Llacuabamba 1+ goals
64%
Deportivo Llacuabamba 2+ goals
27%
Deportivo Llacuabamba 3+ goals
8%

Draw no bet

Deportivo Coopsol (draw refunded)
65%
Deportivo Llacuabamba (draw refunded)
35%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
37%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Deportivo Coopsol at home — creates 1.32, concedes 1.02 · 90 matches

Deportivo Llacuabamba away — creates 1.03, concedes 1.66 · 61 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Deportivo Coopsol attack 1.32 + Deportivo Llacuabamba defence 1.66 → ÷2 → 1.49

Deportivo Llacuabamba attack 1.03 + Deportivo Coopsol defence 1.02 → ÷2 → 1.02

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

Deportivo Coopsol scores more
48%
level
26%
Deportivo Llacuabamba scores more
26%

Deportivo Coopsol at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "Deportivo Coopsol will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Deportivo Coopsol vs Deportivo Llacuabamba

Deportivo Coopsol beat Deportivo Llacuabamba 1-0 in Segunda División on August 2, 2025.

The match was played at Estadio Romulo Shaw Cisneros in Huaral.