Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Deportivo Cali W vs Atlético Huila W — Liga Femenina 2020

Deportivo Cali W
Deportivo Cali W
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Atlético Huila W
Atlético Huila W
5/7/2023Liga FemeninaLiga Femenina · Apertura - 14Estadio Deportivo Cali

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 16+ matches

Deportivo Cali W59%
×Draw24%
Atlético Huila W17%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Deportivo Cali W
1.65
Atlético Huila W
0.76

Deportivo Cali W creates 117% more chances

Season form · 60 home / 16 away

creates per match

Deportivo Cali W
1.93
Atlético Huila W
1.00

allows per match

Deportivo Cali W
0.52
Atlético Huila W
1.38

finishing

Deportivo Cali W+0.00on par
Atlético Huila W+0.00on par

Total goals

57%Under
  • Under57
  • Over43

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

57%No
  • No57
  • Yes43

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Deportivo Cali W ↓

Atlético Huila W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–09%
0–17%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–015%
1–111%
1–24%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–012%
2–19%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–07%
3–15%
3–22%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (15%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
91%9%1.5
69%31%2.5
43%57%3.5
22%78%4.5
10%90%

Double chance

Deportivo Cali W or draw
83%
Deportivo Cali W or Atlético Huila W
76%
Draw or Atlético Huila W
41%

Winning margin

Deportivo Cali W wins by 2+
32%
Atlético Huila W wins by 2+
5%

Team goals

Deportivo Cali W 1+ goals
81%
Deportivo Cali W 2+ goals
49%
Deportivo Cali W 3+ goals
23%
Atlético Huila W 1+ goals
53%
Atlético Huila W 2+ goals
18%
Atlético Huila W 3+ goals
4%

Draw no bet

Deportivo Cali W (draw refunded)
77%
Atlético Huila W (draw refunded)
23%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
32%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Deportivo Cali W at home — creates 1.93, concedes 0.52 · 60 matches

Atlético Huila W away — creates 1.00, concedes 1.38 · 16 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Deportivo Cali W attack 1.93 + Atlético Huila W defence 1.38 → ÷2 → 1.65

Atlético Huila W attack 1.00 + Deportivo Cali W defence 0.52 → ÷2 → 0.76

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 59%?"

Deportivo Cali W scores more
59%
level
24%
Atlético Huila W scores more
17%

Deportivo Cali W at 59% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 59% does not mean "Deportivo Cali W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Liga Femenina: Deportivo Cali W 0–0 Atlético Huila W

Deportivo Cali W and Atlético Huila W drew 0-0 in Liga Femenina on May 7, 2023.

The match was played at Estadio Deportivo Cali in Palmira.