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Debreceni VSC vs Cracovia Krakow — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Debreceni VSC
Debreceni VSC
CANC
00:00
Cracovia Krakow
Cracovia Krakow
1/16/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Susesi Sport Center A

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Debreceni VSC43%
×Draw24%
Cracovia Krakow33%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Debreceni VSC
1.66
Cracovia Krakow
1.41

Debreceni VSC creates 18% more chances

Season form · 7 home / 4 away

creates per match

Debreceni VSC
1.57
Cracovia Krakow
1.25

allows per match

Debreceni VSC
1.57
Cracovia Krakow
1.75

finishing

Debreceni VSC+0.00on par
Cracovia Krakow+0.00on par

Total goals

59%Over
  • Over59
  • Under41

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

61%Yes
  • Yes61
  • No39

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Debreceni VSC ↓

Cracovia Krakow →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–17%
0–25%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–08%
1–111%
1–28%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–15%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
81%19%2.5
59%41%3.5
37%63%4.5
19%81%

Double chance

Debreceni VSC or draw
67%
Debreceni VSC or Cracovia Krakow
76%
Draw or Cracovia Krakow
57%

Winning margin

Debreceni VSC wins by 2+
22%
Cracovia Krakow wins by 2+
15%

Team goals

Debreceni VSC 1+ goals
81%
Debreceni VSC 2+ goals
49%
Debreceni VSC 3+ goals
23%
Cracovia Krakow 1+ goals
76%
Cracovia Krakow 2+ goals
41%
Cracovia Krakow 3+ goals
17%

Draw no bet

Debreceni VSC (draw refunded)
57%
Cracovia Krakow (draw refunded)
43%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
50%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Debreceni VSC at home — creates 1.57, concedes 1.57 · 7 matches

Cracovia Krakow away — creates 1.25, concedes 1.75 · 4 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Debreceni VSC attack 1.57 + Cracovia Krakow defence 1.75 → ÷2 → 1.66

Cracovia Krakow attack 1.25 + Debreceni VSC defence 1.57 → ÷2 → 1.41

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 43%?"

Debreceni VSC scores more
43%
level
24%
Cracovia Krakow scores more
33%

Debreceni VSC at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "Debreceni VSC will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Debreceni VSC vs Cracovia Krakow — Match Preview

Debreceni VSC face Cracovia Krakow on January 16, 2024 in this Friendlies Clubs fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Debreceni VSC host Cracovia Krakow at Susesi Sport Center A.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.