Scoreo

Damac vs Al KholoodPro League 2025

Damac
Damac
FT
00
HT: 00
Al Kholood
Al Kholood
2/3/2026Pro LeaguePro League · Round 20Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 19+ matches

Damac41%
×Draw26%
Al Kholood34%
Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
48.6%
Always home
43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Damac
1.45
Al Kholood
1.29

Damac creates 12% more chances

Season form · 25 home / 19 away

creates per match

Damac
1.16
Al Kholood
1.26

allows per match

Damac
1.32
Al Kholood
1.74

finishing

Damac+0.00on par
Al Kholood+0.00on par

Total goals

52%Over
  • Over52
  • Under48

Close call

Both teams score

55%Yes
  • Yes55
  • No45

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Damac

Al Kholood
0
1
2
3
4
0
006%
018%
025%
032%
041%
1
109%
1112%
128%
133%
141%
2
207%
219%
226%
232%
241%
3
303%
314%
323%
331%
340%
4
401%
412%
421%
430%
440%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
76%24%2.5
52%48%3.5
29%71%4.5
14%86%

Double chance

Damac or draw
66%
Damac or Al Kholood
74%
Draw or Al Kholood
59%

Winning margin

Damac wins by 2+
20%
Al Kholood wins by 2+
15%

Team goals

Damac 1+ goals
77%
Damac 2+ goals
42%
Damac 3+ goals
18%
Al Kholood 1+ goals
72%
Al Kholood 2+ goals
37%
Al Kholood 3+ goals
14%

Draw no bet

Damac (draw refunded)
55%
Al Kholood (draw refunded)
45%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
43%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Damac at homecreates 1.16, concedes 1.32 · 25 matches

Al Kholood awaycreates 1.26, concedes 1.74 · 19 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Damac attack 1.16 + Al Kholood defence 1.74 → ÷2 → 1.45

Al Kholood attack 1.26 + Damac defence 1.32 → ÷2 → 1.29

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

Damac scores more
41%
level
26%
Al Kholood scores more
34%

Damac at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "Damac will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

38
S. PinasAl KholoodAl Kholood · D
8.9

Possession

47%Damac

Shots

17Damac

Pass accuracy

49%Damac

Statistics

DamacAl
Overview
47%Possession53%
17Total Shots14
1.58Expected Goals (xG)1.40
5Corners5
10Fouls9
Shots
17Total Shots14
4On Target3
7Off Target7
6Blocked4
8Inside Box10
9Outside Box4
Passing
47%Possession53%
369Total Passes418
307Accurate Passes364
83%Pass Accuracy87%
Goalkeeping
3Saves3
Discipline
10Fouls9
0Yellow Cards1
1Offsides4

Damac 0 – 0 Al Kholood

Damac and Al Kholood drew 0-0 in Pro League on February 3, 2026.

Al Kholood controlled possession (53%) and registered 14 shots to 17.

The match was played at Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium in Abha.