Damac 0–2 Al Khaleej Saihat: Result & Stats

Damac

FT

0 – 2

HT: 0 – 1

Al Khaleej Saihat

J. King 90', 29'

5/2/2026

Pro League · Round 31Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 23+ matches

Damac37%

×Draw26%

Al Khaleej Saihat37%

✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

48.6%

Always home

43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

DamacExpected goals in this matchAl Khaleej Saihat

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.34

Damac

1.34

Al Khaleej Saihat

1.34

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 27 home / 23 away

1.07

creates per match

1.39

1.30

allows per match

1.61

creates per match

Damac

1.07

Al Khaleej Saihat

1.39

allows per match

Damac

1.30

Al Khaleej Saihat

1.61

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Damac+0.00on par

Al Khaleej Saihat+0.00on par

Total goals

Under50
Over50

Close call

Both teams score

Yes54
No46

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Damac ↓

Al Khaleej Saihat →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–07%

0–19%

0–26%

0–33%

0–41%

1

1–09%

1–112%

1–28%

1–34%

1–41%

2

2–06%

2–18%

2–26%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–03%

3–14%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

93%7%1.5

75%25%2.5

50%50%3.5

28%72%4.5

13%87%

Double chance

Damac or draw

63%

Damac or Al Khaleej Saihat

74%

Draw or Al Khaleej Saihat

63%

Winning margin

Damac wins by 2+

17%

Al Khaleej Saihat wins by 2+

17%

Team goals

Damac 1+ goals

74%

Damac 2+ goals

39%

Damac 3+ goals

15%

Al Khaleej Saihat 1+ goals

74%

Al Khaleej Saihat 2+ goals

39%

Al Khaleej Saihat 3+ goals

15%

Draw no bet

Damac (draw refunded)

50%

Al Khaleej Saihat (draw refunded)

50%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

42%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Damac at home — creates 1.07, concedes 1.30 · 27 matches

Al Khaleej Saihat away — creates 1.39, concedes 1.61 · 23 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Damac attack 1.07 + Al Khaleej Saihat defence 1.61 → ÷2 → 1.34

Al Khaleej Saihat attack 1.39 + Damac defence 1.30 → ÷2 → 1.34

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 37%?"

Damac scores more

37%

level

26%

Al Khaleej Saihat scores more

37%

Damac at 37% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 37% does not mean "Damac will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

7

J. King

Al Khaleej Saihat · F

8.7

Match Events

29'

J. King↳ P. Fernandes

32'

37'

43'

43'

59'

M. Hamzi← G. Masouras

65'

D. Al Anazi← J. Okita

65'

N. Al Saadi← A. Al Obaid

66'

H. Al Jayzani← S. Al Hamsal

73'

Kostas Fortounis

76'

A. Al Haydar← K. Fortounis

76'

S. Al Amri← P. Fernandes

81'

Y. Naji← T. Abdullah

81'

H. Al Ghamdi← David Kaiki

90'

J. King↳ P. Rebocho

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

DamacAl

Overview

57%Possession43%

15Total Shots7

0.81Expected Goals (xG)1.42

4Corners1

9Fouls9

Shots

15Total Shots7

5On Target2

9Off Target4

1Blocked1

6Inside Box5

9Outside Box2

Passing

57%Possession43%

461Total Passes367

401Accurate Passes287

87%Pass Accuracy78%

Goalkeeping

0Saves5

0.63Goals Prevented0.63

Discipline

9Fouls9

1Yellow Cards4

1Offsides2