Dalian Zhixing 0–1 SHANGHAI SIPG: Result & Stats

Dalian Zhixing

FT

0 – 1

HT: 0 – 1

SHANGHAI SIPG

Gabrielzinho 4'

11/22/2025

Super League · Round 30Dalian Suoyuwan Football Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 13+ matches

Dalian Zhixing41%

×Draw25%

SHANGHAI SIPG34%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.3%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 585,131 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.6% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Dalian ZhixingExpected goals in this matchSHANGHAI SIPG

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.48

1.33

Dalian Zhixing

1.48

SHANGHAI SIPG

1.33

Dalian Zhixing creates 11% more chances

Season form · 13 home / 17 away

1.44

creates per match

1.59

1.06

allows per match

1.52

creates per match

Dalian Zhixing

1.44

SHANGHAI SIPG

1.59

allows per match

Dalian Zhixing

1.06

SHANGHAI SIPG

1.52

-0.13scores less than expected

finishing

+0.23scores more than expected

finishing

Dalian Zhixing-0.13scores less

SHANGHAI SIPG+0.23scores more

Total goals

Over53
Under47

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes57
No43

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Dalian Zhixing ↓

SHANGHAI SIPG →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–06%

0–18%

0–25%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–09%

1–112%

1–28%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–07%

2–19%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–03%

3–14%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

94%6%1.5

77%23%2.5

53%47%3.5

31%69%4.5

15%85%

Double chance

Dalian Zhixing or draw

66%

Dalian Zhixing or SHANGHAI SIPG

75%

Draw or SHANGHAI SIPG

59%

Winning margin

Dalian Zhixing wins by 2+

20%

SHANGHAI SIPG wins by 2+

15%

Team goals

Dalian Zhixing 1+ goals

77%

Dalian Zhixing 2+ goals

43%

Dalian Zhixing 3+ goals

19%

SHANGHAI SIPG 1+ goals

74%

SHANGHAI SIPG 2+ goals

38%

SHANGHAI SIPG 3+ goals

15%

Draw no bet

Dalian Zhixing (draw refunded)

55%

SHANGHAI SIPG (draw refunded)

45%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

45%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Dalian Zhixing at home — creates 1.44, concedes 1.06 · 13 matches

SHANGHAI SIPG away — creates 1.59, concedes 1.52 · 17 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Dalian Zhixing attack 1.44 + SHANGHAI SIPG defence 1.52 → ÷2 → 1.48

SHANGHAI SIPG attack 1.59 + Dalian Zhixing defence 1.06 → ÷2 → 1.33

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

Dalian Zhixing scores more

41%

level

25%

SHANGHAI SIPG scores more

34%

Dalian Zhixing at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "Dalian Zhixing will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

3

Browning Tyias

SHANGHAI SIPG · D

8.0

Match Events

4'

Gabrielzinho↳ Leonardo

12'

Weijie Mao

20'

Isnik Alimi

42'

P. Zhu← Daniel Penha

46'

Bi Jinhao← Jin Pengxiang

46'

Z. Labyad← W. Mao

54'

Cao Haiqing← Wen Jiabao

54'

Liao Jintao← Lu Peng

69'

Zakaria Labyad

77'

X. Li← O. Melendo

89'

Lu Wenjun← Leonardo

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

DalianSHANGHAI

Overview

56%Possession44%

13Total Shots11

6Corners5

8Fouls12

Shots

13Total Shots11

2On Target3

9Off Target7

2Blocked1

7Inside Box6

6Outside Box5

Passing

56%Possession44%

480Total Passes385

357Accurate Passes284

74%Pass Accuracy74%

Goalkeeping

2Saves2

Discipline

8Fouls12

3Yellow Cards0

0Offsides3