Czechia 2–1 FYR Macedonia: Result & Stats

Czechia

2 – 1

HT: 0 – 0

FYR Macedonia

A. Barák 90+8' (pen)

P. Schick 60' (pen)

I. Alimi 65'

6/10/2024

Friendlies · Friendlies 1Malšovická Aréna

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 10+ matches

Czechia71%

×Draw19%

FYR Macedonia11%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 580,715 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.3% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

CzechiaExpected goals in this matchFYR Macedonia

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.13

0.69

Czechia

2.13

FYR Macedonia

0.69

Czechia creates 209% more chances

Season form · 13 home / 10 away

2.85

creates per match

0.30

1.08

allows per match

1.40

creates per match

Czechia

2.85

FYR Macedonia

0.30

allows per match

Czechia

1.08

FYR Macedonia

1.40

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Czechia+0.00on par

FYR Macedonia+0.00on par

Total goals

Over53
Under47

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

No56
Yes44

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Czechia ↓

FYR Macedonia →

0–06%

0–14%

0–21%

0–30%

0–40%

1–013%

1–19%

1–23%

1–31%

1–40%

2–014%

2–19%

2–23%

2–31%

2–40%

3–010%

3–17%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4–05%

4–14%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 2–0 (14%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

94%6%1.5

77%23%2.5

53%47%3.5

31%69%4.5

15%85%

Double chance

Czechia or draw

89%

Czechia or FYR Macedonia

81%

Draw or FYR Macedonia

29%

Winning margin

Czechia wins by 2+

46%

FYR Macedonia wins by 2+

Team goals

Czechia 1+ goals

88%

Czechia 2+ goals

63%

Czechia 3+ goals

35%

FYR Macedonia 1+ goals

50%

FYR Macedonia 2+ goals

15%

FYR Macedonia 3+ goals

Draw no bet

Czechia (draw refunded)

87%

FYR Macedonia (draw refunded)

13%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

35%

Both score & under 3

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

Recent form of each side

Czechia at home — creates 2.85, concedes 1.08 · 13 matches

FYR Macedonia away — creates 0.30, concedes 1.40 · 10 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

Expected goals for this match

Czechia attack 2.85 + FYR Macedonia defence 1.40 → ÷2 → 2.13

FYR Macedonia attack 0.30 + Czechia defence 1.08 → ÷2 → 0.69

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

The answer to "why 71%?"

Czechia scores more

71%

level

19%

FYR Macedonia scores more

11%

Czechia at 71% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 71% does not mean "Czechia will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

60'

Ladislav Krejčí

60'

Visar Musliu

60'

P. SchickPenalty

65'

I. Alimi

66'

M. Chytil← P. Schick

66'

D. Jurásek← V. Coufal

66'

71'

72'

72'

72'

N. Serafimov← G. Zajkov

77'

M. Ristovski← A. Trajkovski

77'

B. Dimoski← S. Ashkovski

89'

O. Lingr← T. Holeš

90'

A. Iljazovski← E. Elmas

90'

L. Qamili← E. Alioski

90+8'

A. BarákPenalty

Czechia3-1-4-2

FYR3-5-2

▼

▼

▼

⚽

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

⚽

▼

Schick

▼

Kuchta

Manager: I. Hašek

66'▲M. Chytil←▼P. Schick

66'▲D. Jurásek←▼V. Coufal

66'▲P. Šulc←▼A. Hložek

72'▲T. Chorý←▼J. Kuchta

72'▲A. Barák←▼L. Provod

89'▲O. Lingr←▼T. Holeš

Czechia substitutes

13Chytil15Jurásek25Šulc19Chorý7Barák20Lingr17Černý6Vitík26Jurásek21Červ16Kovář24Vlček23Jaroš2Zima

Manager: B. Milevski

72'▲N. Serafimov←▼G. Zajkov

77'▲M. Ristovski←▼A. Trajkovski

77'▲B. Dimoski←▼S. Ashkovski

90'▲A. Iljazovski←▼E. Elmas

90'▲L. Qamili←▼E. Alioski

FYR Macedonia substitutes

4Serafimov19Ristovski13Dimoski2Iljazovski26Qamili25Zdravkovski24Aleksovski12Iliev20Miovski17Elezi23Todoroski10Mitrovski11Churlinov22Shishkovski15Manev

Friendlies: Czechia 2–1 FYR Macedonia

Czechia beat FYR Macedonia 2-1 in Friendlies on June 10, 2024.

Goals: P. Schick (60' pen), I. Alimi (65'), A. Barák (90+8' pen).

The match was played at Malšovická Aréna in Hradec Králové.

Czechia vs FYR Macedonia — Friendlies 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Friendlies: Czechia 2–1 FYR Macedonia