Czech Republic U18 0–0 Denmark U18: Result & Stats

Czech Republic U18

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Denmark U18

10/9/2025

Friendlies · Friendlies 1

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Czech Republic U1830%

×Draw26%

Denmark U1843%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50%

Always home

44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Czech Republic U18Expected goals in this matchDenmark U18

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.14

1.42

Czech Republic U18

1.14

Denmark U18

1.42

Denmark U18 creates 25% more chances

Season form · 6 home / 10 away

1.17

creates per match

1.50

1.33

allows per match

1.10

creates per match

Czech Republic U18

1.17

Denmark U18

1.50

allows per match

Czech Republic U18

1.33

Denmark U18

1.10

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Czech Republic U18+0.00on par

Denmark U18+0.00on par

Total goals

Under53
Over47

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

Yes52
No48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Czech Republic U18 ↓

Denmark U18 →

0–08%

0–111%

0–28%

0–34%

0–41%

1–09%

1–113%

1–29%

1–34%

1–41%

2–05%

2–17%

2–25%

2–32%

2–41%

3–02%

3–13%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

92%8%1.5

72%28%2.5

47%53%3.5

25%75%4.5

12%88%

Double chance

Czech Republic U18 or draw

57%

Czech Republic U18 or Denmark U18

74%

Draw or Denmark U18

70%

Winning margin

Czech Republic U18 wins by 2+

12%

Denmark U18 wins by 2+

21%

Team goals

Czech Republic U18 1+ goals

68%

Czech Republic U18 2+ goals

32%

Czech Republic U18 3+ goals

11%

Denmark U18 1+ goals

76%

Denmark U18 2+ goals

41%

Denmark U18 3+ goals

17%

Draw no bet

Czech Republic U18 (draw refunded)

41%

Denmark U18 (draw refunded)

59%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

39%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

Recent form of each side

Czech Republic U18 at home — creates 1.17, concedes 1.33 · 6 matches

Denmark U18 away — creates 1.50, concedes 1.10 · 10 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

Expected goals for this match

Czech Republic U18 attack 1.17 + Denmark U18 defence 1.10 → ÷2 → 1.14

Denmark U18 attack 1.50 + Czech Republic U18 defence 1.33 → ÷2 → 1.42

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

The answer to "why 43%?"

Czech Republic U18 scores more

30%

level

26%

Denmark U18 scores more

43%

Denmark U18 at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "Denmark U18 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff