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Czech Republic U16 W vs Switzerland U16 W — Friendlies Women 2026

Czech Republic U16 W
Czech Republic U16 W
FT
2 – 3
HT: 1 – 2
Switzerland U16 W
Switzerland U16 W
J. Sadlova 71'
R. Petrakova 28'
M. Mettraux 49'
C. Mingard 38'
I. Wegmann 34'
4/15/2025Friendlies WomenFriendlies Women · Friendlies

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Czech Republic U16 W62%
×Draw17%
Switzerland U16 W21%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Czech Republic U16 W
2.96
Switzerland U16 W
1.71

Czech Republic U16 W creates 73% more chances

Season form · 3 home / 4 away

creates per match

Czech Republic U16 W
3.67
Switzerland U16 W
1.75

allows per match

Czech Republic U16 W
1.67
Switzerland U16 W
2.25

finishing

Czech Republic U16 W+0.00on par
Switzerland U16 W+0.00on par

Total goals

84%Over
  • Over84
  • Under16

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

77%Yes
  • Yes77
  • No23

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Czech Republic U16 W ↓

Switzerland U16 W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–01%
0–12%
0–21%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–03%
1–15%
1–24%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–04%
2–17%
2–26%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–04%
3–17%
3–26%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–03%
4–15%
4–25%
4–33%
4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (7%) · grid covers 82% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
95%5%2.5
84%16%3.5
67%33%4.5
48%52%

Double chance

Czech Republic U16 W or draw
79%
Czech Republic U16 W or Switzerland U16 W
83%
Draw or Switzerland U16 W
38%

Winning margin

Czech Republic U16 W wins by 2+
43%
Switzerland U16 W wins by 2+
10%

Team goals

Czech Republic U16 W 1+ goals
95%
Czech Republic U16 W 2+ goals
79%
Czech Republic U16 W 3+ goals
55%
Switzerland U16 W 1+ goals
82%
Switzerland U16 W 2+ goals
51%
Switzerland U16 W 3+ goals
24%

Draw no bet

Czech Republic U16 W (draw refunded)
75%
Switzerland U16 W (draw refunded)
25%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
73%
Both score & under 3
5%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Czech Republic U16 W at home — creates 3.67, concedes 1.67 · 3 matches

Switzerland U16 W away — creates 1.75, concedes 2.25 · 4 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Czech Republic U16 W attack 3.67 + Switzerland U16 W defence 2.25 → ÷2 → 2.96

Switzerland U16 W attack 1.75 + Czech Republic U16 W defence 1.67 → ÷2 → 1.71

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 62%?"

Czech Republic U16 W scores more
62%
level
17%
Switzerland U16 W scores more
21%

Czech Republic U16 W at 62% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 62% does not mean "Czech Republic U16 W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

28'
R. Petrakova
34'
I. Wegmann
38'
C. Mingard
49'
M. Mettraux
71'
J. Sadlova

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies Women: Czech Republic U16 W 2–3 Switzerland U16 W

Switzerland U16 W beat Czech Republic U16 W 3-2 in Friendlies Women on April 15, 2025.

Goals: R. Petrakova (28'), I. Wegmann (34'), C. Mingard (38'), M. Mettraux (49'), J. Sadlova (71').