Scoreo

Cumbernauld Colts vs ClydebankLeague #731 2026

Cumbernauld Colts
Cumbernauld Colts
FT
12
HT: 11
Clydebank
Clydebank
S. Walker 19'
D. Cairns 47'
C. McGowan 41'
7/29/2025League #731League #731 · Lowland League - 2Broadwood Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Cumbernauld Colts29%
×Draw20%
Clydebank51%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Cumbernauld Colts
1.71
Clydebank
2.33

Clydebank creates 36% more chances

Season form · 3 home / 4 away

creates per match

Cumbernauld Colts
1.67
Clydebank
3.00

allows per match

Cumbernauld Colts
1.67
Clydebank
1.75

finishing

Cumbernauld Colts+0.00on par
Clydebank+0.00on par

Total goals

76%Over
  • Over76
  • Under24

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

74%Yes
  • Yes74
  • No26

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Cumbernauld Colts

Clydebank
0
1
2
3
4
0
002%
014%
025%
034%
042%
1
103%
117%
128%
136%
144%
2
203%
216%
227%
235%
243%
3
301%
313%
324%
333%
342%
4
401%
411%
422%
431%
441%

Most likely 1–2 (8%) · grid covers 90% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
91%9%2.5
76%24%3.5
57%43%4.5
37%63%

Double chance

Cumbernauld Colts or draw
49%
Cumbernauld Colts or Clydebank
80%
Draw or Clydebank
71%

Winning margin

Cumbernauld Colts wins by 2+
14%
Clydebank wins by 2+
31%

Team goals

Cumbernauld Colts 1+ goals
82%
Cumbernauld Colts 2+ goals
51%
Cumbernauld Colts 3+ goals
24%
Clydebank 1+ goals
90%
Clydebank 2+ goals
67%
Clydebank 3+ goals
41%

Draw no bet

Cumbernauld Colts (draw refunded)
36%
Clydebank (draw refunded)
64%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
67%
Both score & under 3
7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Cumbernauld Colts at homecreates 1.67, concedes 1.67 · 3 matches

Clydebank awaycreates 3.00, concedes 1.75 · 4 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Cumbernauld Colts attack 1.67 + Clydebank defence 1.75 → ÷2 → 1.71

Clydebank attack 3.00 + Cumbernauld Colts defence 1.67 → ÷2 → 2.33

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 51%?"

Cumbernauld Colts scores more
29%
level
20%
Clydebank scores more
51%

Clydebank at 51% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 51% does not mean "Clydebank will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Cumbernauld
Clydebank
John Doyle
Manager: John Doyle
71'D. HatfieldB. Mortimer
72'A. OsemakeJ. Jack
84'L. HunterJ. Devlin
84'J. FarquharC. McIntyre

Cumbernauld Colts substitutes

67'L. GallacherA. Black
67'C. TruesdaleN. Little
79'S. McCannN. McLaughlin
87'A. HodgeK. Samson

Clydebank substitutes

Match Recap: Cumbernauld Colts vs Clydebank

Clydebank beat Cumbernauld Colts 2-1 in League #731 on July 29, 2025.

Goals: S. Walker (19'), C. McGowan (41'), D. Cairns (47').

The match was played at Broadwood Stadium in Cumbernauld.