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Cukaricki vs Radnicki 1923 — Super Liga 2026

Cukaricki
Cukaricki
Preview
16:00
Radnicki 1923
Radnicki 1923
8/1/2026Super LigaSuper Liga · Round 3Stadion na Banovom brdu
Big match
43%
Radnicki 1923
model favours
28%29%43%

Cukaricki score first in only 13% of matches

brightest fact of this match

0–1
likely score
63%
under 2.5 goals
43%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 5+ matches

Cukaricki28%
×Draw29%
Radnicki 192343%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Cukaricki
0.93
Radnicki 1923
1.24

Radnicki 1923 creates 33% more chances

Season form · 6 home / 5 away

creates per match

Cukaricki
1.29
Radnicki 1923
1.01

allows per match

Cukaricki
1.47
Radnicki 1923
0.57

finishing

Cukaricki+0.54scores more
Radnicki 1923-0.41scores less

Total goals

Under: 63Over: 3763%Under
  • Under63
  • Over37

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No: 57Yes: 4357%No
  • No57
  • Yes43

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Cukaricki ↓

Radnicki 1923 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–011%
0–114%
0–29%
0–34%
0–41%
1
1–011%
1–113%
1–28%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–05%
2–16%
2–24%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–02%
3–12%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–00%
4–10%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (14%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
89%11%1.5
64%36%2.5
37%63%3.5
17%83%4.5
7%93%

Double chance

Cukaricki or draw
57%
Cukaricki or Radnicki 1923
71%
Draw or Radnicki 1923
72%

Winning margin

Cukaricki wins by 2+
10%
Radnicki 1923 wins by 2+
19%

Team goals

Cukaricki 1+ goals
61%
Cukaricki 2+ goals
24%
Cukaricki 3+ goals
7%
Radnicki 1923 1+ goals
71%
Radnicki 1923 2+ goals
35%
Radnicki 1923 3+ goals
13%

Draw no bet

Cukaricki (draw refunded)
39%
Radnicki 1923 (draw refunded)
61%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
30%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Cukaricki at home — creates 1.29, concedes 1.47 · 6 matches

Radnicki 1923 away — creates 1.01, concedes 0.57 · 5 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Cukaricki attack 1.29 + Radnicki 1923 defence 0.57 → ÷2 → 0.93

Radnicki 1923 attack 1.01 + Cukaricki defence 1.47 → ÷2 → 1.24

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 43%?"

Cukaricki scores more
28%
level
29%
Radnicki 1923 scores more
43%

Radnicki 1923 at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "Radnicki 1923 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • 67% of Cukaricki’s matches stay under 2.5 goals
  • Both teams score in only 33% of Cukaricki’s matches
  • Cukaricki win just 42% against the top half (vs 71% against the bottom)
  • Both teams scored in 9 of the last 10 meetings
  • Radnicki 1923 outscore their xG (1.4 vs 0.9 expected)

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Style Matchup

Contrasting styles
Cukaricki
Balanced
Radnicki 1923
Defensively solid
49%Possession54%
76%Pass accuracy78%
12.2Shots13.9
1.35xGBiggest gap0.87
Pass acc.ShotsxGBox shareShot acc.Defense
CukarickiRadnicki 1923

Head-to-head

10 previous meetings

4
Cukaricki
4
Draws
2
Radnicki 1923
Avg goals: 3.4BTTS: 90%
0–02–31–11–13–4

Playing styles from match stats. Historical H2H record. Not a prediction.

Form
Cukaricki
WLDWW
1923
LWWL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Cukaricki face Radnicki 1923 (Super Liga)

Super Liga returns with Cukaricki hosting Radnicki 1923. Match starts August 1, 2026. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Cukaricki host Radnicki 1923 at Stadion na Banovom brdu.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.