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Cucuta vs Internacional de Bogota — Primera A 2018

Cucuta
Cucuta
Preview
23:20
Internacional de Bogota
Internacional de Bogota
9/2/2026Primera APrimera A · Clausura - 2Estadio General Santander
Big match
41%
Cucuta
model favours
41%27%33%

Internacional de Bogota win just 27% against the top half (vs 57% against the bottom)

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
53%
under 2.5 goals
52%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 42+ matches

Cucuta41%
×Draw27%
Internacional de Bogota33%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Cucuta
1.36
Internacional de Bogota
1.19

Cucuta creates 14% more chances

Season form · 42 home / 171 away

creates per match

Cucuta
1.31
Internacional de Bogota
0.90

allows per match

Cucuta
1.48
Internacional de Bogota
1.41

finishing

Cucuta+0.00on par
Internacional de Bogota+0.00on par

Total goals

53%Under
  • Under53
  • Over47

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

52%Yes
  • Yes52
  • No48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Cucuta ↓

Internacional de Bogota →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–08%
0–19%
0–26%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–011%
1–113%
1–28%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–14%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
92%8%1.5
72%28%2.5
47%53%3.5
25%75%4.5
11%89%

Double chance

Cucuta or draw
67%
Cucuta or Internacional de Bogota
73%
Draw or Internacional de Bogota
59%

Winning margin

Cucuta wins by 2+
19%
Internacional de Bogota wins by 2+
14%

Team goals

Cucuta 1+ goals
74%
Cucuta 2+ goals
39%
Cucuta 3+ goals
16%
Internacional de Bogota 1+ goals
70%
Internacional de Bogota 2+ goals
33%
Internacional de Bogota 3+ goals
12%

Draw no bet

Cucuta (draw refunded)
55%
Internacional de Bogota (draw refunded)
45%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
39%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Cucuta at home — creates 1.31, concedes 1.48 · 42 matches

Internacional de Bogota away — creates 0.90, concedes 1.41 · 171 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Cucuta attack 1.31 + Internacional de Bogota defence 1.41 → ÷2 → 1.36

Internacional de Bogota attack 0.90 + Cucuta defence 1.48 → ÷2 → 1.19

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

Cucuta scores more
41%
level
27%
Internacional de Bogota scores more
33%

Cucuta at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "Cucuta will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Both teams scored in 6 of the last 6 meetings
  • Their last 6 meetings averaged 3.7 goals

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Style Matchup

Similar styles
Cucuta
Balanced
Internacional de Bogota
Balanced
48%Possession46%
77%Pass accuracy76%
9.1ShotsBiggest gap12.4
1.19xG0.97
Pass acc.ShotsxGBox shareShot acc.Defense
CucutaInternacional de Bogota

Head-to-head

6 previous meetings

3
Cucuta
0
Draws
3
Internacional de Bogota
Avg goals: 3.7BTTS: 100%
1–23–22–11–42–1

Playing styles from match stats. Historical H2H record. Not a prediction.

Form
Cucuta
LDDDL
Bogota
LLLWL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Cucuta host Internacional de Bogota

September 2, 2026: Cucuta take on Internacional de Bogota in Primera A. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Cucuta host Internacional de Bogota at Estadio General Santander.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.