CSM Satu Mare 4–0 Viitorul Şelimbăr: Result & Stats

CSM Satu Mare

FT

4 – 0

HT: 1 – 0

Viitorul Şelimbăr

C. Zamfir 90'

E. Zsiga 85'

M. Marin 67'

M. Donca 12'

4/18/2026

Liga II · Relegation Group - 4Daniel Prodan Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 13+ matches

CSM Satu Mare35%

×Draw25%

Viitorul Şelimbăr41%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

CSM Satu MareExpected goals in this matchViitorul Şelimbăr

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.39

1.52

CSM Satu Mare

1.39

Viitorul Şelimbăr

1.52

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 13 home / 69 away

1.54

creates per match

0.96

2.08

allows per match

1.23

creates per match

CSM Satu Mare

1.54

Viitorul Şelimbăr

0.96

allows per match

CSM Satu Mare

2.08

Viitorul Şelimbăr

1.23

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

CSM Satu Mare+0.00on par

Viitorul Şelimbăr+0.00on par

Total goals

Over56
Under44

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes59
No41

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

CSM Satu Mare ↓

Viitorul Şelimbăr →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–05%

0–18%

0–26%

0–33%

0–41%

1

1–08%

1–112%

1–29%

1–34%

1–42%

2

2–05%

2–18%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–02%

3–14%

3–23%

3–31%

3–41%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

95%5%1.5

79%21%2.5

56%44%3.5

33%67%4.5

17%83%

Double chance

CSM Satu Mare or draw

59%

CSM Satu Mare or Viitorul Şelimbăr

75%

Draw or Viitorul Şelimbăr

65%

Winning margin

CSM Satu Mare wins by 2+

16%

Viitorul Şelimbăr wins by 2+

20%

Team goals

CSM Satu Mare 1+ goals

75%

CSM Satu Mare 2+ goals

40%

CSM Satu Mare 3+ goals

16%

Viitorul Şelimbăr 1+ goals

78%

Viitorul Şelimbăr 2+ goals

45%

Viitorul Şelimbăr 3+ goals

20%

Draw no bet

CSM Satu Mare (draw refunded)

46%

Viitorul Şelimbăr (draw refunded)

54%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

47%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

CSM Satu Mare at home — creates 1.54, concedes 2.08 · 13 matches

Viitorul Şelimbăr away — creates 0.96, concedes 1.23 · 69 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

CSM Satu Mare attack 1.54 + Viitorul Şelimbăr defence 1.23 → ÷2 → 1.39

Viitorul Şelimbăr attack 0.96 + CSM Satu Mare defence 2.08 → ÷2 → 1.52

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

CSM Satu Mare scores more

35%

level

25%

Viitorul Şelimbăr scores more

41%

Viitorul Şelimbăr at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "Viitorul Şelimbăr will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

12'

M. Donca

21'

67'

M. Marin

75'

85'

E. Zsiga

90'

C. Zamfir

CSM

Viitorul

68

77

6

27

5

33

15

22

7

13

22

67

⚽

2

8

26

20

23

⚽

27

76

18

7

⚽

Zamfir

CSM Satu Mare substitutes

1Karacsony25Mbala5Todoran6Vasalie70StaiculescuTasi99Pop11Zsiga21Raji

Viitorul Şelimbăr substitutes

Baila23Mihart9Vuc17Birbic10Benzar14Serban30Ivan3GiaferAyne

Match Recap: CSM Satu Mare vs Viitorul Şelimbăr

CSM Satu Mare beat Viitorul Şelimbăr 4-0 in Liga II on April 18, 2026.

Goals: M. Donca (12'), M. Marin (67'), E. Zsiga (85'), C. Zamfir (90').

The match was played at Daniel Prodan Stadium in Satu Mare.

CSM Satu Mare vs Viitorul Şelimbăr — Liga II 2018

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Match Recap: CSM Satu Mare vs Viitorul Şelimbăr