Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

CSKA Moskva W vs Krylya Sovetov W — Supreme Division Women 2020

CSKA Moskva W
CSKA Moskva W
FT
2 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Krylya Sovetov W
Krylya Sovetov W
5/4/2025Supreme Division WomenSupreme Division Women · Round 8Stadion Novye Chimki

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 44+ matches

CSKA Moskva W75%
×Draw17%
Krylya Sovetov W8%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

CSKA Moskva W
2.16
Krylya Sovetov W
0.52

CSKA Moskva W creates 315% more chances

Season form · 76 home / 44 away

creates per match

CSKA Moskva W
2.32
Krylya Sovetov W
0.50

allows per match

CSKA Moskva W
0.53
Krylya Sovetov W
2.00

finishing

CSKA Moskva W+0.00on par
Krylya Sovetov W+0.00on par

Total goals

50%Under
  • Under50
  • Over50

Close call

Both teams score

64%No
  • No64
  • Yes36

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

CSKA Moskva W ↓

Krylya Sovetov W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–14%
0–21%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–015%
1–18%
1–22%
1–30%
1–40%
2
2–016%
2–18%
2–22%
2–30%
2–40%
3
3–012%
3–16%
3–22%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–06%
4–13%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 2–0 (16%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
75%25%2.5
50%50%3.5
28%72%4.5
13%87%

Double chance

CSKA Moskva W or draw
92%
CSKA Moskva W or Krylya Sovetov W
83%
Draw or Krylya Sovetov W
25%

Winning margin

CSKA Moskva W wins by 2+
50%
Krylya Sovetov W wins by 2+
2%

Team goals

CSKA Moskva W 1+ goals
88%
CSKA Moskva W 2+ goals
63%
CSKA Moskva W 3+ goals
36%
Krylya Sovetov W 1+ goals
41%
Krylya Sovetov W 2+ goals
10%
Krylya Sovetov W 3+ goals
2%

Draw no bet

CSKA Moskva W (draw refunded)
91%
Krylya Sovetov W (draw refunded)
9%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
28%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

CSKA Moskva W at home — creates 2.32, concedes 0.53 · 76 matches

Krylya Sovetov W away — creates 0.50, concedes 2.00 · 44 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

CSKA Moskva W attack 2.32 + Krylya Sovetov W defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 2.16

Krylya Sovetov W attack 0.50 + CSKA Moskva W defence 0.53 → ÷2 → 0.52

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 75%?"

CSKA Moskva W scores more
75%
level
17%
Krylya Sovetov W scores more
8%

CSKA Moskva W at 75% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 75% does not mean "CSKA Moskva W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Supreme Division Women: CSKA Moskva W 2–0 Krylya Sovetov W

CSKA Moskva W beat Krylya Sovetov W 2-0 in Supreme Division Women on May 4, 2025.

The match was played at Stadion Novye Chimki in Khimki.