Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

CSKA 1948 vs Lask Linz — Friendlies Clubs 2026

CSKA 1948
CSKA 1948
FT
1 – 2
HT: 0 – 2
Lask Linz
Lask Linz
B. Sobrero 81'
L. Kacavenda 39'
M. Entrup 36'
1/15/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendly

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 7+ matches

CSKA 194842%
×Draw23%
Lask Linz35%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

CSKA 1948
1.69
Lask Linz
1.54

CSKA 1948 creates 10% more chances

Season form · 22 home / 7 away

creates per match

CSKA 1948
1.95
Lask Linz
1.86

allows per match

CSKA 1948
1.23
Lask Linz
1.43

finishing

CSKA 1948+0.00on par
Lask Linz+0.00on par

Total goals

63%Over
  • Over63
  • Under37

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

64%Yes
  • Yes64
  • No36

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

CSKA 1948 ↓

Lask Linz →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–16%
0–25%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–07%
1–110%
1–28%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–27%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–15%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
83%17%2.5
63%37%3.5
40%60%4.5
22%78%

Double chance

CSKA 1948 or draw
65%
CSKA 1948 or Lask Linz
77%
Draw or Lask Linz
58%

Winning margin

CSKA 1948 wins by 2+
21%
Lask Linz wins by 2+
17%

Team goals

CSKA 1948 1+ goals
82%
CSKA 1948 2+ goals
50%
CSKA 1948 3+ goals
24%
Lask Linz 1+ goals
79%
Lask Linz 2+ goals
45%
Lask Linz 3+ goals
20%

Draw no bet

CSKA 1948 (draw refunded)
54%
Lask Linz (draw refunded)
46%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
54%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

CSKA 1948 at home — creates 1.95, concedes 1.23 · 22 matches

Lask Linz away — creates 1.86, concedes 1.43 · 7 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

CSKA 1948 attack 1.95 + Lask Linz defence 1.43 → ÷2 → 1.69

Lask Linz attack 1.86 + CSKA 1948 defence 1.23 → ÷2 → 1.54

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 42%?"

CSKA 1948 scores more
42%
level
23%
Lask Linz scores more
35%

CSKA 1948 at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 42% does not mean "CSKA 1948 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

36'
M. Entrup
39'
L. Kacavenda
81'
B. Sobrero
CSKA
Lask
Ivan Stoyanov
Manager: Ivan Stoyanov
Dietmar Kuhbauer
Manager: Dietmar Kuhbauer

Friendlies Clubs: CSKA 1948 1–2 Lask Linz

Lask Linz beat CSKA 1948 2-1 in Friendlies Clubs on January 15, 2026.

Goals: M. Entrup (36'), L. Kacavenda (39'), B. Sobrero (81').