CSKA 1948 3–0 Gangwon FC: Result & Stats

CSKA 1948

3 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Gangwon FC

A. Traore 85'

A. Iliev 69'

Berna 49'

2/1/2026

Friendlies Clubs · Club Friendly

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 10+ matches

CSKA 194862%

×Draw20%

Gangwon FC18%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

CSKA 1948Expected goals in this matchGangwon FC

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.13

1.06

CSKA 1948

2.13

Gangwon FC

1.06

CSKA 1948 creates 101% more chances

Season form · 22 home / 10 away

1.95

creates per match

0.90

1.23

allows per match

2.30

creates per match

CSKA 1948

1.95

Gangwon FC

0.90

allows per match

CSKA 1948

1.23

Gangwon FC

2.30

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

CSKA 1948+0.00on par

Gangwon FC+0.00on par

Total goals

Over62
Under38

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes58
No42

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

CSKA 1948 ↓

Gangwon FC →

0–04%

0–14%

0–22%

0–31%

0–40%

1–09%

1–19%

1–25%

1–32%

1–40%

2–09%

2–110%

2–25%

2–32%

2–40%

3–07%

3–17%

3–24%

3–31%

3–40%

4–04%

4–14%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (10%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

96%4%1.5

83%17%2.5

62%38%3.5

39%61%4.5

21%79%

Double chance

CSKA 1948 or draw

82%

CSKA 1948 or Gangwon FC

80%

Draw or Gangwon FC

38%

Winning margin

CSKA 1948 wins by 2+

38%

Gangwon FC wins by 2+

Team goals

CSKA 1948 1+ goals

88%

CSKA 1948 2+ goals

63%

CSKA 1948 3+ goals

35%

Gangwon FC 1+ goals

65%

Gangwon FC 2+ goals

29%

Gangwon FC 3+ goals

Draw no bet

CSKA 1948 (draw refunded)

77%

Gangwon FC (draw refunded)

23%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

48%

Both score & under 3

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

Recent form of each side

CSKA 1948 at home — creates 1.95, concedes 1.23 · 22 matches

Gangwon FC away — creates 0.90, concedes 2.30 · 10 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

Expected goals for this match

CSKA 1948 attack 1.95 + Gangwon FC defence 2.30 → ÷2 → 2.13

Gangwon FC attack 0.90 + CSKA 1948 defence 1.23 → ÷2 → 1.06

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

The answer to "why 62%?"

CSKA 1948 scores more

62%

level

20%

Gangwon FC scores more

18%

CSKA 1948 at 62% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 62% does not mean "CSKA 1948 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

49'

Berna

69'

A. Iliev

85'

A. Traore

CSKA

Gangwon

Manager: Ivan Stoyanov

Manager: Kyung-Ho Chung