Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

CSKA 1948 vs Dynamo Kyiv — Friendlies Clubs 2026

CSKA 1948
CSKA 1948
FT
1 – 4
HT: 0 – 2
Dynamo Kyiv
Dynamo Kyiv
1/16/2025Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 5Hotel Spice Sport Complex - artificial grass

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 9+ matches

CSKA 194841%
×Draw22%
Dynamo Kyiv37%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

CSKA 1948
1.92
Dynamo Kyiv
1.83

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 22 home / 9 away

creates per match

CSKA 1948
1.95
Dynamo Kyiv
2.44

allows per match

CSKA 1948
1.23
Dynamo Kyiv
1.89

finishing

CSKA 1948+0.00on par
Dynamo Kyiv+0.00on par

Total goals

72%Over
  • Over72
  • Under28

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

72%Yes
  • Yes72
  • No28

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

CSKA 1948 ↓

Dynamo Kyiv →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–14%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–05%
1–18%
1–28%
1–35%
1–42%
2
2–04%
2–18%
2–27%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–03%
3–15%
3–25%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–22%
4–31%
4–41%

Most likely 1–1 (8%) · grid covers 92% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
89%11%2.5
72%28%3.5
51%49%4.5
32%68%

Double chance

CSKA 1948 or draw
63%
CSKA 1948 or Dynamo Kyiv
78%
Draw or Dynamo Kyiv
59%

Winning margin

CSKA 1948 wins by 2+
22%
Dynamo Kyiv wins by 2+
20%

Team goals

CSKA 1948 1+ goals
85%
CSKA 1948 2+ goals
57%
CSKA 1948 3+ goals
30%
Dynamo Kyiv 1+ goals
84%
Dynamo Kyiv 2+ goals
54%
Dynamo Kyiv 3+ goals
28%

Draw no bet

CSKA 1948 (draw refunded)
52%
Dynamo Kyiv (draw refunded)
48%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
63%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

CSKA 1948 at home — creates 1.95, concedes 1.23 · 22 matches

Dynamo Kyiv away — creates 2.44, concedes 1.89 · 9 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

CSKA 1948 attack 1.95 + Dynamo Kyiv defence 1.89 → ÷2 → 1.92

Dynamo Kyiv attack 2.44 + CSKA 1948 defence 1.23 → ÷2 → 1.83

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

CSKA 1948 scores more
41%
level
22%
Dynamo Kyiv scores more
37%

CSKA 1948 at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "CSKA 1948 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies Clubs: CSKA 1948 1–4 Dynamo Kyiv

Dynamo Kyiv beat CSKA 1948 4-1 in Friendlies Clubs on January 16, 2025.

The match was played at Hotel Spice Sport Complex - artificial grass.