Scoreo

CSA Steaua Bucureşti vs FC ClinceniFriendlies Clubs 2026

6/26/2021Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Baza Sportivă Steaua 5

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

CSA Steaua Bucureşti60%
×Draw20%
FC Clinceni21%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

CSA Steaua Bucureşti
2.27
FC Clinceni
1.27

CSA Steaua Bucureşti creates 79% more chances

Season form · 15 home / 3 away

creates per match

CSA Steaua Bucureşti
3.20
FC Clinceni
1.00

allows per match

CSA Steaua Bucureşti
1.53
FC Clinceni
1.33

finishing

CSA Steaua Bucureşti+0.00on par
FC Clinceni+0.00on par

Total goals

68%Over
  • Over68
  • Under32

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

64%Yes
  • Yes64
  • No36

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

CSA Steaua Bucureşti

FC Clinceni
0
1
2
3
4
0
003%
014%
022%
031%
040%
1
107%
118%
125%
132%
141%
2
208%
2110%
226%
233%
241%
3
306%
317%
325%
332%
341%
4
403%
414%
423%
431%
440%

Most likely 2–1 (10%) · grid covers 92% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
87%13%2.5
68%32%3.5
47%53%4.5
28%72%

Double chance

CSA Steaua Bucureşti or draw
79%
CSA Steaua Bucureşti or FC Clinceni
80%
Draw or FC Clinceni
40%

Winning margin

CSA Steaua Bucureşti wins by 2+
37%
FC Clinceni wins by 2+
8%

Team goals

CSA Steaua Bucureşti 1+ goals
90%
CSA Steaua Bucureşti 2+ goals
66%
CSA Steaua Bucureşti 3+ goals
39%
FC Clinceni 1+ goals
72%
FC Clinceni 2+ goals
36%
FC Clinceni 3+ goals
14%

Draw no bet

CSA Steaua Bucureşti (draw refunded)
74%
FC Clinceni (draw refunded)
26%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
56%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

CSA Steaua Bucureşti at homecreates 3.20, concedes 1.53 · 15 matches

FC Clinceni awaycreates 1.00, concedes 1.33 · 3 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

CSA Steaua Bucureşti attack 3.20 + FC Clinceni defence 1.33 → ÷2 → 2.27

FC Clinceni attack 1.00 + CSA Steaua Bucureşti defence 1.53 → ÷2 → 1.27

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 60%?"

CSA Steaua Bucureşti scores more
60%
level
20%
FC Clinceni scores more
21%

CSA Steaua Bucureşti at 60% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 60% does not mean "CSA Steaua Bucureşti will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: CSA Steaua Bucureşti vs FC Clinceni

FC Clinceni beat CSA Steaua Bucureşti 2-1 in Friendlies Clubs on June 26, 2021.

The match was played at Baza Sportivă Steaua 5 in Bucureşti.