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CSA Steaua Bucureşti vs Concordia — Friendlies Clubs 2026

CSA Steaua Bucureşti
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
FT
2 – 2
HT: 2 – 1
Concordia
Concordia
S. Camara 24', 17'
Unknown 89', 14'
7/8/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendly

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 7+ matches

CSA Steaua Bucureşti49%
×Draw20%
Concordia31%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

CSA Steaua Bucureşti
2.27
Concordia
1.77

CSA Steaua Bucureşti creates 28% more chances

Season form · 17 home / 7 away

creates per match

CSA Steaua Bucureşti
3.24
Concordia
2.14

allows per match

CSA Steaua Bucureşti
1.41
Concordia
1.29

finishing

CSA Steaua Bucureşti+0.00on par
Concordia+0.00on par

Total goals

77%Over
  • Over77
  • Under23

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

74%Yes
  • Yes74
  • No26

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

CSA Steaua Bucureşti ↓

Concordia →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–13%
0–23%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–04%
1–17%
1–26%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–18%
2–27%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–03%
3–16%
3–25%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–23%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (8%) · grid covers 90% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
91%9%2.5
77%23%3.5
57%43%4.5
37%63%

Double chance

CSA Steaua Bucureşti or draw
69%
CSA Steaua Bucureşti or Concordia
80%
Draw or Concordia
51%

Winning margin

CSA Steaua Bucureşti wins by 2+
29%
Concordia wins by 2+
15%

Team goals

CSA Steaua Bucureşti 1+ goals
90%
CSA Steaua Bucureşti 2+ goals
66%
CSA Steaua Bucureşti 3+ goals
39%
Concordia 1+ goals
83%
Concordia 2+ goals
53%
Concordia 3+ goals
26%

Draw no bet

CSA Steaua Bucureşti (draw refunded)
62%
Concordia (draw refunded)
38%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
67%
Both score & under 3
7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

CSA Steaua Bucureşti at home — creates 3.24, concedes 1.41 · 17 matches

Concordia away — creates 2.14, concedes 1.29 · 7 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

CSA Steaua Bucureşti attack 3.24 + Concordia defence 1.29 → ÷2 → 2.27

Concordia attack 2.14 + CSA Steaua Bucureşti defence 1.41 → ÷2 → 1.77

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 49%?"

CSA Steaua Bucureşti scores more
49%
level
20%
Concordia scores more
31%

CSA Steaua Bucureşti at 49% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 49% does not mean "CSA Steaua Bucureşti will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

14'
17'
S. Camara
24'
S. Camara
89'

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies Clubs: CSA Steaua Bucureşti 2–2 Concordia

CSA Steaua Bucureşti and Concordia drew 2-2 in Friendlies Clubs on July 8, 2026.

Goals: ? (14', 89'), S. Camara (17', 24').