Scoreo

CS Universitatea Craiova vs RaufossFriendlies Clubs 2026

1/12/2022Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Gloria Sports Arena

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 10+ matches

CS Universitatea Craiova45%
×Draw23%
Raufoss32%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

CS Universitatea Craiova
1.75
Raufoss
1.45

CS Universitatea Craiova creates 21% more chances

Season form · 12 home / 10 away

creates per match

CS Universitatea Craiova
1.00
Raufoss
1.40

allows per match

CS Universitatea Craiova
1.50
Raufoss
2.50

finishing

CS Universitatea Craiova+0.00on par
Raufoss+0.00on par

Total goals

62%Over
  • Over62
  • Under38

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

63%Yes
  • Yes63
  • No37

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

CS Universitatea Craiova

Raufoss
0
1
2
3
4
0
004%
016%
024%
032%
041%
1
107%
1110%
128%
134%
141%
2
206%
219%
227%
233%
241%
3
304%
315%
324%
332%
341%
4
402%
412%
422%
431%
440%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
83%17%2.5
62%38%3.5
40%60%4.5
22%78%

Double chance

CS Universitatea Craiova or draw
68%
CS Universitatea Craiova or Raufoss
77%
Draw or Raufoss
55%

Winning margin

CS Universitatea Craiova wins by 2+
24%
Raufoss wins by 2+
15%

Team goals

CS Universitatea Craiova 1+ goals
83%
CS Universitatea Craiova 2+ goals
52%
CS Universitatea Craiova 3+ goals
25%
Raufoss 1+ goals
77%
Raufoss 2+ goals
42%
Raufoss 3+ goals
18%

Draw no bet

CS Universitatea Craiova (draw refunded)
58%
Raufoss (draw refunded)
42%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
53%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

CS Universitatea Craiova at homecreates 1.00, concedes 1.50 · 12 matches

Raufoss awaycreates 1.40, concedes 2.50 · 10 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

CS Universitatea Craiova attack 1.00 + Raufoss defence 2.50 → ÷2 → 1.75

Raufoss attack 1.40 + CS Universitatea Craiova defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 1.45

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 45%?"

CS Universitatea Craiova scores more
45%
level
23%
Raufoss scores more
32%

CS Universitatea Craiova at 45% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 45% does not mean "CS Universitatea Craiova will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

CS Universitatea Craiova vs Raufoss — Match Preview

CS Universitatea Craiova face Raufoss on January 12, 2022 in this Friendlies Clubs fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

CS Universitatea Craiova host Raufoss at Gloria Sports Arena.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.