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CS Universitatea Craiova vs Plzen — Friendlies Clubs 2026

CS Universitatea Craiova
CS Universitatea Craiova
FT
0 – 2
Plzen
Plzen
8/14/2020Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Silberstadt Arena Schwaz

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 8+ matches

CS Universitatea Craiova15%
×Draw21%
Plzen64%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

CS Universitatea Craiova
0.81
Plzen
1.94

Plzen creates 140% more chances

Season form · 12 home / 8 away

creates per match

CS Universitatea Craiova
1.00
Plzen
2.38

allows per match

CS Universitatea Craiova
1.50
Plzen
0.63

finishing

CS Universitatea Craiova+0.00on par
Plzen+0.00on par

Total goals

52%Over
  • Over52
  • Under48

Close call

Both teams score

52%No
  • No52
  • Yes48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

CS Universitatea Craiova ↓

Plzen →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–112%
0–212%
0–38%
0–44%
1
1–05%
1–110%
1–210%
1–36%
1–43%
2
2–02%
2–14%
2–24%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–01%
3–11%
3–21%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–00%
4–10%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (12%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
76%24%2.5
52%48%3.5
29%71%4.5
14%86%

Double chance

CS Universitatea Craiova or draw
36%
CS Universitatea Craiova or Plzen
79%
Draw or Plzen
85%

Winning margin

CS Universitatea Craiova wins by 2+
4%
Plzen wins by 2+
39%

Team goals

CS Universitatea Craiova 1+ goals
56%
CS Universitatea Craiova 2+ goals
19%
CS Universitatea Craiova 3+ goals
5%
Plzen 1+ goals
86%
Plzen 2+ goals
58%
Plzen 3+ goals
30%

Draw no bet

CS Universitatea Craiova (draw refunded)
19%
Plzen (draw refunded)
81%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
37%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

CS Universitatea Craiova at home — creates 1.00, concedes 1.50 · 12 matches

Plzen away — creates 2.38, concedes 0.63 · 8 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

CS Universitatea Craiova attack 1.00 + Plzen defence 0.63 → ÷2 → 0.81

Plzen attack 2.38 + CS Universitatea Craiova defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 1.94

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 64%?"

CS Universitatea Craiova scores more
15%
level
21%
Plzen scores more
64%

Plzen at 64% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 64% does not mean "Plzen will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies Clubs: CS Universitatea Craiova 0–2 Plzen

Plzen beat CS Universitatea Craiova 2-0 in Friendlies Clubs on August 14, 2020.

The match was played at Silberstadt Arena Schwaz in Schwaz.