Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Creck vs Nyasa Big Bullets — Super League 2026

Creck
Creck
FT
1 – 1
HT: 0 – 0
Nyasa Big Bullets
Nyasa Big Bullets
6/23/2024Super LeagueSuper League · Round 8CIVO Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 34+ matches

Creck31%
×Draw30%
Nyasa Big Bullets38%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Creck
0.95
Nyasa Big Bullets
1.08

Nyasa Big Bullets creates 14% more chances

Season form · 34 home / 79 away

creates per match

Creck
1.32
Nyasa Big Bullets
1.23

allows per match

Creck
0.94
Nyasa Big Bullets
0.57

finishing

Creck+0.00on par
Nyasa Big Bullets+0.00on par

Total goals

67%Under
  • Under67
  • Over33

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

60%No
  • No60
  • Yes40

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Creck ↓

Nyasa Big Bullets →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–013%
0–114%
0–28%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–012%
1–113%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–16%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–02%
3–12%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–00%
4–10%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (14%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
87%13%1.5
60%40%2.5
33%67%3.5
15%85%4.5
6%94%

Double chance

Creck or draw
62%
Creck or Nyasa Big Bullets
70%
Draw or Nyasa Big Bullets
69%

Winning margin

Creck wins by 2+
11%
Nyasa Big Bullets wins by 2+
15%

Team goals

Creck 1+ goals
61%
Creck 2+ goals
25%
Creck 3+ goals
7%
Nyasa Big Bullets 1+ goals
66%
Nyasa Big Bullets 2+ goals
29%
Nyasa Big Bullets 3+ goals
10%

Draw no bet

Creck (draw refunded)
45%
Nyasa Big Bullets (draw refunded)
55%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
27%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Creck at home — creates 1.32, concedes 0.94 · 34 matches

Nyasa Big Bullets away — creates 1.23, concedes 0.57 · 79 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Creck attack 1.32 + Nyasa Big Bullets defence 0.57 → ÷2 → 0.95

Nyasa Big Bullets attack 1.23 + Creck defence 0.94 → ÷2 → 1.08

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 38%?"

Creck scores more
31%
level
30%
Nyasa Big Bullets scores more
38%

Nyasa Big Bullets at 38% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 38% does not mean "Nyasa Big Bullets will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Super League: Creck 1–1 Nyasa Big Bullets

Creck and Nyasa Big Bullets drew 1-1 in Super League on June 23, 2024.

The match was played at CIVO Stadium in Lilongwe.