Cracovia Krakow 2–2 Artis: Result & Stats

Cracovia Krakow

2 – 2

HT: 0 – 2

Artis

1/24/2026

Friendlies Clubs · Club Friendly

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 14+ matches

Cracovia Krakow48%

×Draw22%

Artis29%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Cracovia KrakowExpected goals in this matchArtis

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.90

1.43

Cracovia Krakow

1.90

Artis

1.43

Cracovia Krakow creates 33% more chances

Season form · 14 home / 18 away

2.07

creates per match

1.56

1.29

allows per match

1.72

creates per match

Cracovia Krakow

2.07

Artis

1.56

allows per match

Cracovia Krakow

1.29

Artis

1.72

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Cracovia Krakow+0.00on par

Artis+0.00on par

Total goals

Over65
Under35

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes65
No35

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Cracovia Krakow ↓

Artis →

0–04%

0–15%

0–24%

0–32%

0–41%

1–07%

1–110%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2–06%

2–19%

2–27%

2–33%

2–41%

3–04%

3–16%

3–24%

3–32%

3–41%

4–02%

4–13%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

96%4%1.5

84%16%2.5

65%35%3.5

42%58%4.5

24%76%

Double chance

Cracovia Krakow or draw

71%

Cracovia Krakow or Artis

78%

Draw or Artis

52%

Winning margin

Cracovia Krakow wins by 2+

27%

Artis wins by 2+

13%

Team goals

Cracovia Krakow 1+ goals

85%

Cracovia Krakow 2+ goals

56%

Cracovia Krakow 3+ goals

29%

Artis 1+ goals

76%

Artis 2+ goals

42%

Artis 3+ goals

17%

Draw no bet

Cracovia Krakow (draw refunded)

62%

Artis (draw refunded)

38%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

55%

Both score & under 3

10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

Recent form of each side

Cracovia Krakow at home — creates 2.07, concedes 1.29 · 14 matches

Artis away — creates 1.56, concedes 1.72 · 18 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

Expected goals for this match

Cracovia Krakow attack 2.07 + Artis defence 1.72 → ÷2 → 1.90

Artis attack 1.56 + Cracovia Krakow defence 1.29 → ÷2 → 1.43

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

The answer to "why 48%?"

Cracovia Krakow scores more

48%

level

22%

Artis scores more

29%

Cracovia Krakow at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "Cracovia Krakow will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff