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CR Khemis Zemamra vs Wydad AC — Botola Pro 2025

CR Khemis Zemamra
CR Khemis Zemamra
FT
1 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Wydad AC
Wydad AC
5/3/2026Botola ProBotola Pro · Round 18Stade Terrain Ahmed Chokri

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 75+ matches

CR Khemis Zemamra34%
×Draw28%
Wydad AC38%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

CR Khemis Zemamra
1.10
Wydad AC
1.18

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 75 home / 120 away

creates per match

CR Khemis Zemamra
1.25
Wydad AC
1.32

allows per match

CR Khemis Zemamra
1.03
Wydad AC
0.96

finishing

CR Khemis Zemamra+0.00on par
Wydad AC+0.00on par

Total goals

60%Under
  • Under60
  • Over40

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

54%No
  • No54
  • Yes46

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

CR Khemis Zemamra ↓

Wydad AC →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–010%
0–112%
0–27%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–011%
1–113%
1–28%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–17%
2–24%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–02%
3–13%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
90%10%1.5
66%34%2.5
40%60%3.5
20%80%4.5
8%92%

Double chance

CR Khemis Zemamra or draw
62%
CR Khemis Zemamra or Wydad AC
72%
Draw or Wydad AC
66%

Winning margin

CR Khemis Zemamra wins by 2+
13%
Wydad AC wins by 2+
16%

Team goals

CR Khemis Zemamra 1+ goals
67%
CR Khemis Zemamra 2+ goals
30%
CR Khemis Zemamra 3+ goals
10%
Wydad AC 1+ goals
69%
Wydad AC 2+ goals
33%
Wydad AC 3+ goals
12%

Draw no bet

CR Khemis Zemamra (draw refunded)
47%
Wydad AC (draw refunded)
53%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
33%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

CR Khemis Zemamra at home — creates 1.25, concedes 1.03 · 75 matches

Wydad AC away — creates 1.32, concedes 0.96 · 120 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

CR Khemis Zemamra attack 1.25 + Wydad AC defence 0.96 → ÷2 → 1.10

Wydad AC attack 1.32 + CR Khemis Zemamra defence 1.03 → ÷2 → 1.18

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 38%?"

CR Khemis Zemamra scores more
34%
level
28%
Wydad AC scores more
38%

Wydad AC at 38% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 38% does not mean "Wydad AC will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: CR Khemis Zemamra vs Wydad AC

CR Khemis Zemamra beat Wydad AC 1-0 in Botola Pro on May 3, 2026.

The match was played at Stade Terrain Ahmed Chokri in Zemamra.