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CR Khemis Zemamra vs Rapide Oued ZEM — Botola Pro 2025

CR Khemis Zemamra
CR Khemis Zemamra
FT
2 – 0
HT: 1 – 0
Rapide Oued ZEM
Rapide Oued ZEM
11/1/2019Botola ProBotola Pro · Round 6Stade Municipal Khemiss des Zemamra

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 60+ matches

CR Khemis Zemamra45%
×Draw29%
Rapide Oued ZEM26%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

CR Khemis Zemamra
1.24
Rapide Oued ZEM
0.88

CR Khemis Zemamra creates 41% more chances

Season form · 75 home / 60 away

creates per match

CR Khemis Zemamra
1.25
Rapide Oued ZEM
0.72

allows per match

CR Khemis Zemamra
1.03
Rapide Oued ZEM
1.23

finishing

CR Khemis Zemamra+0.00on par
Rapide Oued ZEM+0.00on par

Total goals

64%Under
  • Under64
  • Over36

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

58%No
  • No58
  • Yes42

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

CR Khemis Zemamra ↓

Rapide Oued ZEM →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–012%
0–111%
0–25%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–015%
1–113%
1–26%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–09%
2–18%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–04%
3–13%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (15%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
88%12%1.5
63%37%2.5
36%64%3.5
16%84%4.5
6%94%

Double chance

CR Khemis Zemamra or draw
74%
CR Khemis Zemamra or Rapide Oued ZEM
71%
Draw or Rapide Oued ZEM
55%

Winning margin

CR Khemis Zemamra wins by 2+
20%
Rapide Oued ZEM wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

CR Khemis Zemamra 1+ goals
71%
CR Khemis Zemamra 2+ goals
35%
CR Khemis Zemamra 3+ goals
13%
Rapide Oued ZEM 1+ goals
59%
Rapide Oued ZEM 2+ goals
22%
Rapide Oued ZEM 3+ goals
6%

Draw no bet

CR Khemis Zemamra (draw refunded)
63%
Rapide Oued ZEM (draw refunded)
37%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
28%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

CR Khemis Zemamra at home — creates 1.25, concedes 1.03 · 75 matches

Rapide Oued ZEM away — creates 0.72, concedes 1.23 · 60 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

CR Khemis Zemamra attack 1.25 + Rapide Oued ZEM defence 1.23 → ÷2 → 1.24

Rapide Oued ZEM attack 0.72 + CR Khemis Zemamra defence 1.03 → ÷2 → 0.88

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 45%?"

CR Khemis Zemamra scores more
45%
level
29%
Rapide Oued ZEM scores more
26%

CR Khemis Zemamra at 45% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 45% does not mean "CR Khemis Zemamra will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: CR Khemis Zemamra vs Rapide Oued ZEM

CR Khemis Zemamra beat Rapide Oued ZEM 2-0 in Botola Pro on November 1, 2019.

The match was played at Stade Municipal Khemiss des Zemamra in Zemamra.