Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Cove Rangers vs Clyde — League #183 2026

Cove Rangers
Cove Rangers
FT
4 – 1
HT: 2 – 1
Clyde
Clyde
3/12/2022League #183League #183 · Round 29Balmoral Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Cove Rangers59%
×Draw21%
Clyde20%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Cove Rangers
2.10
Clyde
1.15

Cove Rangers creates 83% more chances

Season form · 14 home / 6 away

creates per match

Cove Rangers
1.36
Clyde
1.17

allows per match

Cove Rangers
1.14
Clyde
2.83

finishing

Cove Rangers+0.00on par
Clyde+0.00on par

Total goals

63%Over
  • Over63
  • Under37

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

60%Yes
  • Yes60
  • No40

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Cove Rangers ↓

Clyde →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–14%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–08%
1–19%
1–25%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–09%
2–110%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–06%
3–17%
3–24%
3–32%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–14%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (10%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
83%17%2.5
63%37%3.5
40%60%4.5
22%78%

Double chance

Cove Rangers or draw
80%
Cove Rangers or Clyde
79%
Draw or Clyde
41%

Winning margin

Cove Rangers wins by 2+
36%
Clyde wins by 2+
8%

Team goals

Cove Rangers 1+ goals
88%
Cove Rangers 2+ goals
62%
Cove Rangers 3+ goals
35%
Clyde 1+ goals
68%
Clyde 2+ goals
32%
Clyde 3+ goals
11%

Draw no bet

Cove Rangers (draw refunded)
74%
Clyde (draw refunded)
26%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
50%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Cove Rangers at home — creates 1.36, concedes 1.14 · 14 matches

Clyde away — creates 1.17, concedes 2.83 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Cove Rangers attack 1.36 + Clyde defence 2.83 → ÷2 → 2.10

Clyde attack 1.17 + Cove Rangers defence 1.14 → ÷2 → 1.15

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 59%?"

Cove Rangers scores more
59%
level
21%
Clyde scores more
20%

Cove Rangers at 59% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 59% does not mean "Cove Rangers will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Cove Rangers vs Clyde

Cove Rangers beat Clyde 4-1 in League #183 on March 12, 2022.

The match was played at Balmoral Stadium in Aberdeen.